...WARNING EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF HISPANIOLA...

AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTH COAST OF HAITI FROM THE BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WESTWARD TO LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS AT THE NORTHWESTERN TIP OF HAITI. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF HISPANIOLA FROM CABO ENGANO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS HAITI.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO PUNTA PALENQUE.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH OR WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS LATER TODAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.0 WEST OR ABOUT 130 MILES...205 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND ABOUT 125 MILES...205 KM...WEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.

OLGA IS MOVING JUST SOUTH OF DUE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF OLGA IS EXPECTED TO PASS VERY CLOSE TO THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY...BUT SOME WEAKENING IS LIKELY TOMORROW AS OLGA ENCOUNTERS STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS.

OLGA'S STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION...WHICH IS A CHARACTERISTIC OF SUBTROPICAL CYCLONES. WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 41043...ABOUT 270 MILES FROM THE CENTER...RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 40 MPH WITH A GUST TO 54 MPH.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

...LOW PRESSURE AREA NEAR PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS DEVELOPS INTO SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA...

AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC....THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO BAHIO DE MANZANILLO AT THE BORDER OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO PUNTA PALENQUE SOUTHWEST OF SANTO DOMINGO.

INTERESTS IN PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OLGA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE BROAD CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.3 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES... 85 KM...EAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT 300 MILES...485 KM...EAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

OLGA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE CENTER NEAR THE NORTHERN COAST OF PUERTO RICO LATER TONIGHT...AND NEAR OR OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MAINLY WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER APPROACHES THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 41043 RECENTLY REPORTED 1-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS OF 38 MPH...61 KM/HR...AT AN ELEVATION OF 5 METERS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. ST. THOMAS IN THE VIRGIN ISLANDS RECENTLY REPORTED A PRESSURE OF 1006.4 MB...29.72 INCHES.

The NHC have now published their last advisory on Hurricane Noel. Therefore, this will be the final tracking report for Noel.

...NOEL BECOMING A STRONG EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.

INTERESTS ALONG THE U. S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD SHOULD CONSULT STATEMENTS AND WARNINGS ISSUED BY THEIR LOCAL NWS FORECAST OFFICE. INTERESTS IN THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD CONSULT PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NOEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.4 WEST OR ABOUT 450 MILES... 725 KM...WEST OF BERMUDA AND ABOUT 320 MILES...510 KM... SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

NOEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR...AND IT IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NOEL IS TRANSITIONING TO A STRONG EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 345 MILES...555 KM. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN SIZE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM RECONNAISSANCE DATA WAS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.

...NOEL BEGINNING TO LOSE ORGANIZATION AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.

INTERESTS ALONG THE U. S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD SHOULD CONSULT STATEMENTS AND WARNINGS ISSUED BY THEIR LOCAL NWS FORECAST OFFICE. INTERESTS IN THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD CONSULT PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NOEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.8 WEST OR ABOUT 575 MILES... 925 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA AND ABOUT 425 MILES...685 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

NOEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. A TURN BACK TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NOEL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. NOEL IS EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS LATER TODAY...BUT MAINTAIN ITS STRENGTH AS AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT TWO TO THREE DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 345 MILES...555 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM RECONNAISSANCE DATA WAS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES.

...NOEL MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD BETWEEN THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES AND BERMUDA...GROWING IN SIZE...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.

INTERESTS ALONG THE U. S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD SHOULD CONSULT STATEMENTS AND WARNINGS ISSUED BY THEIR LOCAL NWS FORECAST OFFICE. INTERESTS IN THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD CONSULT PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NOEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.2 WEST OR ABOUT 675 MILES... 1085 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA AND ABOUT 470 MILES...755 KM... SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

NOEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NOEL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS....BUT NOEL IS EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AND BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AIRCRAFT...SATELLITE...AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT NOEL HAS GROWN IN SIZE DURING THE NIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. NOEL IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO GROW IN SIZE AS AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES.

...NOEL ACCELERATING THROUGH THE BAHAMAS...

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NOEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.1 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES... 65 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF NASSAU AND ABOUT 205 MILES...330 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA.

NOEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NOEL IS EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO...BUT THEN STRENGTHEN AND INCREASE IN SIZE AS AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE. INTERESTS ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD SHOULD CONSULT STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THEIR LOCAL NWS FORECAST OFFICE.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.

...NOEL TURNS TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA COAST FROM NORTH OF OCEAN REEF TO DEERFIELD BEACH. THIS WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED THIS AFTERNOON.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NOEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.8 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES... 70 KM...SOUTHWEST OF NASSAU AND ABOUT 175 MILES...280 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI FLORIDA.

NOEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF NOEL WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS TODAY AND SLOWLY INCREASING ITS DISTANCE FROM THE FLORIDA COAST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.

...NOEL CONTINUING SLOWLY NORTHWARD...TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF FLORIDA...

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

AT 5 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS CANCELED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR CUBA.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA COAST FROM OCEAN REEF TO DEERFIELD BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NOEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.5 WEST OR ABOUT 115 MILES...185 KM...SOUTHWEST OF NASSAU AND ABOUT 180 MILES...290 KM... SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI FLORIDA.

NOEL IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR. A SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST EXPECTED TONIGHT. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF NOEL THROUGH THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 130 MILES...215 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.

...NOEL LINGERING ALONG THE CUBAN COAST...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST...

AT 5PM EDT...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF OCEAN REEF TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS... GRANMA...HOLGUIN...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NOEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.8 WEST OR ABOUT 190 MILES...305 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NASSAU AND ABOUT 240 MILES...385 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI FLORIDA.

NOEL HAS BEEN STATIONARY FOR THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS...BUT A GENERALLY NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.

...NOEL STRENGTHENS AFTER MOVING OFFSHORE OF THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC... THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR SANCTI SPIRITUS AND GUANTANAMO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS... GRANMA...HOLGUIN...AND SANTIAGO DE CUBA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN FLORIDA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NOEL. AS NOEL MOVES NORTHWARD TODAY...ITS WIND FIELD WILL APPROACH SOUTHEAST FLORIDA...AND THE EXISTING WIND ADVISORY AND GALE WARNING MAY NEED TO BE REPLACED BY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. IN EITHER CASE...WINDS NEAR GALE/TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NOEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.5 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES...280 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NASSAU.

NOEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED AND NOW ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

Tropical Storm Noel still moving over Cuba. Here's the NHC's 0500edt report:

...NOEL NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...APPROACHING THE NORTHERN COAST OF CUBA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS... GRANMA...HOLGUIN...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NOEL.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NOEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.2 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES...85 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CAMAGUEY CUBA AND ABOUT 205 MILES...335 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NASSAU.

NOEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF NOEL OFF THE NORTHERN COAST OF CUBA TODAY AND NEAR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AFTER THE CENTER EMERGES OVER WATER.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM FROM THE CENTER. GUANTANAMO BAY CUBA RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 43 MPH...69 KM/HR.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. CAYO COCO CUBA RECENTLY REPORTED A PRESSURE OF 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.

Tropical Storm Noel still moving west over Cuba. Here's the NHC's 1700edt report:

...NOEL STILL CENTERED INLAND OVER CUBA...

AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR CUBA WESTWARD AND SOUTHWARD. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA... HOLGUIN...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NOEL. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA TONIGHT OR TOMORROW.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NOEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.0 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES... 45 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAMAGUEY CUBA AND ABOUT 280 MILES...450 KM...SOUTH OF NASSAU.

NOEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF NOEL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER CUBA TODAY AND TONIGHT...BUT EMERGE OFF THE NORTHERN COAST OF CUBA TOMORROW.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.

Tropical Storm Noel has weakened whilst moving west over Cuba. Here's the NHC's 1100edt report:

Tropical Storm Noel is tracking towards the northwest and following the northern coast of Cuba. Here's the NHC's 0500edt report:

Tropical Storm Noel is tracking towards the northwest and following the northern coast of Cuba. Here's the NHC's 2300edt report:

...NOEL PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUING OVER HISPANIOLA...TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR SOUTHEAST FLORIDA EARLY TUESDAY...

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING WESTWARD TO INCLUDE THE PROVINCE OF CIEGO DE AVILA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS... HOLGUIN...AND GUANTANAMO.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR HAITI HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

INTEREST IN SOUTHERN FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NOEL. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR SOUTHEAST FLORIDA EARLY TUESDAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NOEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.0 WEST OR ABOUT 305 MILES...490 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NASSAU.

NOEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF NOEL SHOULD MOVE BETWEEN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND THE NORTHERN COAST OF CUBA TONIGHT AND TOMORROW.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE WARNING AREAS.

NOEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 30 INCHES. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEASTERN CUBA...AND THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. THESE RAINS...PARTICULARLY IN HISPANIOLA...ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...21.2 N...75.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

The track of Tropical Storm still continues to be somewhat erratic, and it's position according to the NHC is jumping all over the place. The forecast is for Noel to track northwest towards Florida at 15mph. This is the best we can expect at the moment.

Here's the NHC's 1700edt report:

...NOEL SLIGHTLY STRONGER... ...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED ACROSS HISPANIOLA...PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...AND EASTERN CUBA...

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA IN THE PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY AND LAS TUNAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA IN THE PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO AND HOLGUIN.

AT 500 PM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER OF THE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO GONAIVES.

INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NOEL.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NOEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.2 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES... 80 KM...NORTH OF THE EASTERN TIP OF CUBA AND ABOUT 215 MILES...340 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GREAT EXUMA ISLAND IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.

NOEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF NOEL SHOULD MOVE BETWEEN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND THE NORTHERN COAST OF CUBA TONIGHT AND TOMORROW.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.

Tropical Storm Noel's track still continues to be somewhat erratic, but the general trend appears to be northwards then northeastwards away from land.

Here's the NHC's 1100edt report:

...CENTER OF DISORGANIZED NOEL ABOUT TO EMERGE OFF THE NORTH COAST OF HAITI...NEW WARNINGS ISSUED FOR THE BAHAMAS...

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS UPGRADED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 1100 AM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED IN THE PROVINCES OF GRANMA AND SANTIAGO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO AND HOLGUIN.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF HAITI.

AT 1100 AM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR JAMAICA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS LATER TODAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NOEL WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.0 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES...130 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE EASTERN TIP OF CUBA AND ABOUT 300 MILES...500 KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE NOEL THIS AFTERNOON TO MORE PRECISELY LOCATE THE CIRCULATION CENTER.

NOEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...NOEL WILL BE MOVING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

...NOEL A LITTLE STRONGER AS IT APPROACHES HISPANIOLA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS RECOMMENDED FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD.

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR HAITI HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO INCLUDE THE ENTIRE COAST OF HAITI.

AT 500 PM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA IN THE PROVINCES OF GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GUANTANAMO... AND HOLGUIN. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NOEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.9 WEST OR ABOUT 125 MILES...205 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT 320 MILES...515 KM...SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA.

NOEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR. A CONTINUED MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF NOEL WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER SOUTHWESTERN HAITI TONIGHT.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH FROM THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT WAS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.

At 0500edt tropical depression 14 became Tropical Storm Melissa. Melissa is tracking to the west at 3 mph as a minimum tropical storm with winds of 40 mph. Last position was approximately 260 miles west-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands. The NHC expect Melissa to be no threat to land on it's current track, so no tracking will be initiated for the moment. NHC tracking maps will be available on the Hurricane Melissa maps page.

At 0200edt Lorenzo made landfall over the Mexican coast as a category 1 hurricane. Lorenzo faded quickly to become a tropical depression by 1100edt. Maximum sustained winds on landfall were 80 mph. This is the final tracking report for Hurricane Lorenzo.

At 1400edt Tropical Depression 13 became Tropical Storm Lorenzo. At 1700edt the center of Lorenzo was located about 105 miles southeast of Tuxpan Mexico. Lorenzo is moving towards the west near 5 mph with maximum sustained winds of 70 mph, and this general motion is expected to continue until the center crosses the coast of Mexico in about 12 hours. Minimum central pressure reported by an air force reconnaisance plane was 999Mb.

At 1100edt Tropical Storm Karen continues to move through the waters of the Atlantic, many miles from land. The NHC believes that Karen is no immediate threat to land, and along their forecast track it will continue to be no threat.

Therefore, there will be no further reports on Karen's movements unless it becomes a threat to land, or it changes it's intensity. We will continue to publish the NHC's forecast maps on the Hurricane Karen maps page.

At 0500z the tropical depression 12L Noname has become Tropical Storm Karen according to the NHC. Karen is approximately 1565 miles east of the Windward Islands, and it now has maximum sustained winds of 40 mph. Movement is towards the west-northwest at around 16 mph. On the NHC predicted track, Karen is not expected to be a danger to land. Therefore, no tracking will be initiated for the moment. Should the predicted track of Karen change over the coming days, a track that would involve danger to land, then tracking will be initiated. There will still be maps available on the Hurricane Karen maps page.

At 5am edt the center of Tropical Storm Ingrid was about 575 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. Ingrid is moving toward the west-northwest near 10mph and a motion between west-northwest and northwest is expected to continue over the next 24 hours. Maximum sustained winds are near 40mph. No significant change in strength is expected during the next 24 hours. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 Mb.

At 5pm edt the center of Tropical Storm Ingrid was about 710 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. Ingrid is moving toward the northwest near 8mph and this motion is expected to continue over the next 24 hours. Maximum sustained winds are near 45mph. No significant change in strength is expected today but a gradual weakening is anticipated on Saturday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 Mb.

At 11am edt the center of Tropical Storm Ingrid was about 755 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. Ingrid is moving toward the west-northwest near 7mph and this slow motion is expected to continue over the next 24 hours with a gradual turn to the northwest. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45mph. However, Ingrid should weaken somewhat during the next day or so. The minimum central pressure as reported by a NOAA reconnaisance plane was 1004 Mb.

At 5am edt the center of Tropical Storm Ingrid was about 805 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. Ingrid is moving toward the west-northwest near 7mph and this motion is expected to continue over the next 24 hours. Maximum sustained winds are near 40mph. Slight strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours. The Estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 Mb.

At 11pm edt the center of Tropical Storm Ingrid was about 840 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. Ingrid is moving toward the west-northwest near 6mph and this motion is expected to continue over the next 24 hours. Maximum sustained winds are near 40mph. A small increase in strength is possible during the next 24 hours. The estimated minimum central pressure from a NOAA hurricane hunter aircraft is 1002 Mb.

At 11am edt the center of Tropical Storm Humberto was about 75 miles west-northwest of Lafayette Louisiana. Humberto is moving toward the northeast near 12mph and this motion is expected to continue over the next 24 hours. Maximum sustained winds are near 65mph. Additional weakening is expected today and Humberto should become a tropical depression by early Friday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 Mb.

At 11am edt all coastal hurricane and tropical storm warnings are discontinued. However, damaging winds are still occurring inland near the center of Humberto.

At 5am edt the center of Hurricane Humberto was about 25 miles northeast of High Island Texas. Humberto is moving toward the north-northeast near 8mph and this motion is expected to continue over the next 24 hours. On this track will bring Humberto farther inland over eastern Texas and Louisiana over the next 24 hours. Maximum sustained winds are near 85mph. Humberto is a category 1 hurricane of the Saffir-Simpson scale. The latest minimum central pressure as reported by a reconnaisance aircraft was 986 Mb.

At 11.15pm edt tropical storm Humberto has become Hurricane Humberto and is very close to a Texas coast landfall. At 11pm maximum sustained winds were near 80mph. The latest minimum central pressure is 992 Mb.

At 5pm edt the center of tropical storm Humberto was about 50 miles south of Galveston Texas. Humberto is moving to the north near 7mph. A turn to the north-northeast with a gradual increase in forward speed is expected over the next 24 hours. On the forecast track the center of Humberto should be crossing the upper Texas coast within the warning area in the overnight hours. Maximum sustained winds are near 50mph. Some additional strengthening is expected prior to landfall. The latest minimum central pressure reported by an air force reserve reconnaisance aircraft was 999 Mb.

At 5pm edt the tropical storm warning is extended eastward to Intracoastal City Louisiana.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

The system in the Gulf has now become Tropical Storm Humberto. At 2pm edt the center of tropical storm Humberto was about 70 miles south-southwest of Galveston Texas. Humberto is moving to the north near 6mph and this motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. On the forecast track the center of Humberto should be crossing the Texas coast within the warning area tonight. Maximum sustained winds have increased and are now near 45mph. Some additional strengthening is possible prior to landfall. The earlier air force reserve unit reconnaisance aircraft returned to base for mechanical reasons, but a second aircraft is expected to reach Humberto within an hour or so.

A tropical storm warning remains in force from Port O'Connor Texas to Cameron Louisiana. A tropical storm warch remains in effect from east of Cameron to Intracoastal City Louisiana.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

At 11pm edt the center of Tropical Storm Gabrielle was located inland about 75 miles north of Cape Hatteras North Carolina. Gabrielle is moving toward the northeast near 10mph and this motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours with some increase in forward speed. On this track the storm will be moving further away from the mid-Atlantic seaboard.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 24 hours. An air force reserve hurricane hunter plane recently reported a minimum central pressure of 1008 MB.

At 11pm edt all watches and warnings are discontinued.

Since this site only tracks hurricanes and tropical storms this will be the last tracking map for Gabrielle.

At 5pm edt the center of Tropical Storm Gabrielle was located inland about 45 miles northwest of Cape Hatteras North Carolina. Gabrielle is moving toward the north near 12mph and a turn toward the northeast is expected tonight. On this track the center of Gabrielle will continue to move across extreme eastern North Carolina during the next few hours and then back over the Atlantic waters tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph. Slight weakening is forecast during the next 24 hours. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 MB.

A tropical storm warning remains in effect from Surf City North Carolina northward to Cape Charles Light Virginia including the Pamlico and Albermarle sounds. A tropical storm watch remains in effect in southeastern Virginia for the lower Chesapeake Bay south of New Point Comfort.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

At 11am edt the center of Tropical Storm Gabrielle was located about 20 miles east-northeast of Cape Lookout North Carolina. Gabrielle is moving to the north near 10mph. Gabrielle is expected to turn north-northeastward later today and then to the northeast tonight. On this track the center of Gabrielle will be moving the North Carolina outer banks this afternoon and then back over the Atlantic tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph. Slight strengthening is possible as Gabrielle passes over the outer banks today. The minimum central pressure just reported by an air force reconnaisance aircraft was 1006 MB.

A tropical storm warning remains in effect from Surf City North Carolina northward to Cape Charles Light Virginia including the Pamlico and Albermarle sounds. A tropical storm watch remains in effect in southeastern Virginia for the lower Chesapeake Bay south of New Point Comfort.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

At 5pm edt the center of Tropical Storm Gabrielle was located about 185 miles southeast of Cape Lookout North Carolina. Gabrielle is moving to the northwest near 8mph. A gradual turn to the north is forecast for the next 24 hours. On this track the center of Gabrielle will be near or over the coast of North Carolina tomorrow afternoon, but outer rain bands will likely reach the coast tonight.

Reports from an air force reconnaisance aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have decreased and are now near 40 mph. However, slight strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours. The minimum central pressure reported by the reconnaisance aircraft was 1009 MB.

At 5pm edt the tropical storm watch for a portion of the coast of north Carolina from south of Surf City southward to Cape Fear has been discontinued.

A tropical storm warning remains in effect from Surf City North Carolina northward to the north Carolina/Virginia border including the Pamlico and Albermarle sounds. A tropical storm watch remains in effect for portions of southeastern Virginia from north of the north Carolina/Virginia border northward to Cape Charles Light on the Atlantic coast and to New Point Comfort along Chesapeake Bay.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

At 11am edt the center of Subtropical Storm Gabrielle was located about 255 miles southeast of cape Lookout North Carolina. Gabrielle is moving to the northwest near 10mph and this motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours with a slight decrease in forward speed.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph. Slight strengthening is forecast in the next 24 hours as Gabrielle acquires more tropical characteristics. Estimated Minimum central pressure is 1009 MB.

At 11am edt a tropical storm warning is issued from Surf City North Carolina northward to the north Carolina/Virginia border including the Pamlico and Albermarle sounds. A tropical storm watch is issued for portions of southern Virginia from north of the north Carolina/Virginia border northward to Cape Charles Light on the Atlantic coast and to New Point Comfort along Chesapeake Bay. A tropical watch remains in effect for a portion of the north Carolina coast from south of Surf City southward to Cape Fear.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

At 5am edt the center of Subtropical Storm Gabrielle was located about 315 miles southeast of cape Lookout North Carolina. Gabrielle is moving to the west-northwest near 12mph and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours with a gradual decrease in forward speed.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph. Slight strengthening is forecast a Gabrielle acquire tropical tendencies. Estimated Minimum central pressure is 1011 MB.

A tropical storm watch remains in effect for portions of the south Carolina and north Carolina coast from Edisto beach northward to Oregon Inlet including Pamlico Sound. A tropical storm warning could be required for a portion of the tropical storm watch area later today.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

At 11pm edt the broad and elongated center of Subtropical Storm Gabrielle was located near 30.4N 72.2W, 385 miles southeast of cape Lookout North Carolina. Gabrielle is moving to the west-northwest near 10mph and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 24 hours. Estimated Minimum central pressure is 1011 MB.

Hurricane/Tropical Storm Noel has not yet made an appearence. When it does it will be tracked above this record

Hurricane/Tropical Storm Olga has not yet made an appearence. When it does it will be tracked above this record

Hurricane/Tropical Storm Pablo has not yet made an appearence. When it does it will be tracked above this record

At 11pm edt the center of tropical Storm Felix was located about 100 miles east of Tegucigalpa Honduras. Felix is moving to the west near 12 mph and this motion is expected to continue with a gradual decrease in forward speed for the next 24 hours. This will bring the center of Felix through Honduras on Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph. Continued rapid weakening is forecast during the next 24 hours and Felix will likely be a tropical depression on Wednesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 MB.

At 10pm the government of Honduras has cancelled the tropical storm warning for the coast of Honduras.

At 10pm the government of Belize has cancelled the tropical storm watch for the coast of Belize.

For storm information specific to your area including possible inland watches and warnings please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

Since this site only tracks Tropical Storms and Hurricanes, this will be the last tracking map for Felix.

At 8pm edt the center of ropical Storm Felix was located about 135 miles west of Puerto Cabezas Nicaragua. Felix is moving to the west near 13 mph and this motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. On this track the center of Felix will be moving over Honduras tonight and early Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph. Continued rapid weakening is forecast as the Felix moves over the mountains of central America during the next 24 hours. The estimated minimum central pressure is 982 MB.

A tropical storm warning is in effect for the entire coast of Honduras.

A tropical storm watch is in effect for Belize from Placentia village southward to the Guatamala/Belize border.

For storm information specific to your area including possible inland watches and warnings please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

At 5pm edt the center of Hurricane Felix was located about 110 miles west of Puerto Cabezas Nicaragua. Felix is moving to the west near 14 mph and this motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. On this track the center of Felix will be moving over Honduras tonight and early Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph. Felix is a category 1 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Rapid weakening is forecast as the Felix moves over the mountains central America during the next 24 hours. The estimated minimum central pressure is 975 MB.

A tropical storm warning is in effect for the entire coast of Hondura.

A tropical storm watch is in effect for Belize from Placentia village southward to the Guatamala/Belize border.

For storm information specific to your area including possible inland watches and warnings please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

At 11am edt the center of Major Hurricane Felix was located inland about 40 miles west-northwest of Puerto Cabezas Nicaragua. Felix is moving to the west near 15 mph and this motion is expected to continue with some decrease in forward speed in the next 24 hours. On this track the center of Felix will be continue moving over northeastern Nicaragua for the next several hours and over Honduras later today and tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 120 mph. Felix is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Rapid weakening is forecast as the hurricane moves over the mountainous terrain of central America during the next 24 hours. The estimated minimum central pressure is 950 MB.

A hurricane warning is in effect for Nicaragua from Puerto Cabezas northward to the Honduras/Nicaragua border. A hurricane warning is also in effect for Honduras from Limon eastwards to the Honduras/Nicaragua border.

A hurricane watch remains in effect for Honduras west of Limon, for the Caribbean coast of Guatamala, and for the entire coast of Belize.

At 11am edt the government of Columbia has discontinued the tropical storm warning for the Isla de Providencia.

A tropical storm warning remains in effect for for Nicaragua from south of Puerto Cabezas to Prinzapolka and for Honduras from west of Limon to the Honduras/Guatamala border including Islas de la Bahia. Tropical storm conditions are expected there tonight.

For storm information specific to your area including possible inland watches and warnings please monitoe products issued by your local weather office.

At 8am edt the eye of category 5 Major Hurricane Felix was located on the coast very near Punta Gordo Nicaragua, about 10 miles north-northeast of Puerto Cabezas. Felix is moving to the west near 16 mph and a continued westward motion with a gradual decrease in forward speed is expected in the next 24 hours. On this track the center of Felix will be moving inland over northeaster Nicaragua today and over Honduras later today and tonight.

Earlier reports from a US air force hurricane hunter aircraft, and recent satellite images indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 160 mph. Felix is a potentially catastrophic category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. The hurricane will weaken as it moves inland over Nicaragua and Honduras today. The estimated minimum central pressure is 935 MB.

A hurricane warning is in effect for Nicaragua from Puerto Cabezas northward to the Honduras/Nicaragua border. A hurricane warning is also in effect for Honduras from Limon eastwards to the Honduras/Nicaragua border. Preparation to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

A hurricane watch remains in effect for Honduras west of Limon, for the Caribbean coast of Guatamala, and for the entire coast of Belize.

A tropical storm warning remains in effect for Isla de Providencia, for Nicaragua from south of Puerto Cabezas to Prinzapolka, and for Honduras from west of Limon to the Honduras/Guatamala border including Islas de la Bahia. Tropical storm conditions are expected there tonight.

For storm information specific to your area including possible inland watches and warnings please monitoe products issued by your local weather office.

At 5am edt the center of Major Hurricane Felix was located about 65 miles southeast of Cabo Gracios a Dios on the Nicaragua/Honduras border. Felix is moving to the west near 16 mph and a continued westward movement with a gradual decrease in forward speed is expected in the next 24 hours. On this track the center of Felix will make landfall in northeastern Nicaragua.

Reports from a US air force hurricane hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds Have increased and are near 155 mph. Felix is an extremely dangerous category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Additional slight restrengthening is possible while the hurricane is over water and Felix could reach category 5 status just before crossing the northeastern coast of Nicaragua this morning. The minimum central pressure reported by this aircraft was 939 MB.

A hurricane warning is in effect for Nicaragua from Puerto Cabezas northward to the Honduras/Nicaragua border. A hurricane warning is also in effect for Honduras from Limon eastwards to the Honduras/Nicaragua border. Preparation to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

A hurricane watch remains in effect for Honduras west of Limon, for the Caribbean coast of Guatamala, and for the entire coast of Belize.

A tropical storm warning remains in effect for Isla de Providencia, for Nicaragua from south of Puerto Cabezas to Prinzapolka, and for Honduras from west of Limon to the Honduras/Guatamala border including Islas de la Bahia. Tropical storm conditions are expected there tonight.

For storm information specific to your area including possible inland watches and warnings please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

NO REPORT

NO REPORT

At 5pm edt the center of Major Hurricane Felix was located about 250 miles east of Cabo Gracios a Dios on the Nicaragua/Honduras border. Felix is moving to the west near 20 mph and this general motion is expected to continue during the next 24 hours. On this track the center of Felix will be near the coasts of extreme northeastern Nicaragua and eastern Honduras early on Tuesday morning.

Maximum sustained winds are near 135 mph. Felix is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Some restrengthening is possible prior to landfall. The minimum central pressure estimated by an air force hurricane hunter aircraft is 953 MB.

A hurricane warning is in effect for Nicaragua from Puerto Cabezas northward to the Honduras/Nicaragua border. A hurricane warning is also in effect for Honduras from Limon eastwards to the Honduras/Nicaragua border. Preparation to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

A hurricane watch is in effect for Honduras west of Limon, for the Caribbean coast of Guatamala, and for the entire coast of Belize.

At 5pm edt the govenment of Columbia has issued a tropical storm warning for Isla de Providencia. Tropical storm conditions are expected there tonight.

A tropical storm watch remains in effect for Grand Cayman.

Interests elsewhere in the western Caribbean sea should closely monitor the progress of this extremely dangerous hurricane.

At 11am edt the center of Major Hurricane Felix was located about 365 miles east of Cabo Gracios a Dios on the Nicaragua/Honduras border. Felix is moving to the west near 21 mph and this general motion is expected to continue during the next 24 hours. On this track the center of Felix will be near the coasts of extreme northeastern Nicaragua and northeastern Honduras early on Tuesday morning.

Maximum sustained winds are near 160 mph. Felix is a potentially catastrophic category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. The minimum central pressure estimated from a NOAA hurricane hunter aircraft is 940 MB.

At 11am edt the government of Nicaragua has issued a hurricane warning for Nicaragua from Puerto Cabezas northward to the Honduras/Nicaragua border. A hurricane warning is also in effect for Honduras from Limon eastwards to the Honduras/Nicaragua border. Preparation to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

A hurricane watch is in effect for Honduras west of Limon, for the Caribbean coast of Guatamala, and for the entire coast of Belize.

A tropical storm watch remains in effect for Jamaica and Grand Cayman.

Interests elsewhere in the western Caribbean sea should closely monitor the progress of this potentially catastrophic hurricane.

At 5am edt the center of Major Hurricane Felix was located about 275 miles south-southeast of Kingston Jamaica. Felix is moving to the west near 21 mph and this general motion is expected to continue during the next 24 hours. On this track the center of Felix will be near the coasts of extreme northeastern Nicaragua and northeastern Honduras early on Tuesday morning.

Maximum sustained winds are near 165 mph. Felix is a potentially catastrophic category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. The minimum central pressure based on data from an air force hurricane hunter aircraft is 929 MB.

At 11pm edt the center of Major Hurricane Felix was located about 345 miles southeast of Kingston Jamaica. Felix is moving to the west near 21 mph and a motion between west and west-northwest is expected over the next 24 hours. Maximum sustained winds are near 165 mph. Felix is a category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. The estimated minimum central pressure is 930 MB.

At 8pm edt the Major Hurricane Felix's maximum sustained winds have increased to near 165 mph. This makes Felix a category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. The minimum central pressure is 934 MB.

A tropical storm watch remains in effect for Jamaica and for Grand Cayman.

Interests elsewhere in the central and western Caribbean sea should closely monitor the progress of this system.

At 5pm edt the center of Major Hurricane Felix was located about 440 miles southeast of Kingston Jamaica. Felix is tracking to the west-northwest near 20 mph and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. Reports from a an air force hurricane hunter plane indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 140 mph. Felix is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Additional strengthening is forecast suring the next 24 hours. The minimum central pressure estimated from the aircraft data is 956 MB.

A tropical storm watch remains in effect for Jamaica and for Grand Cayman.

Interests elsewhere in the central and western Caribbean sea should closely monitor the progress of this system.

At 11am edt the center of Hurricane Felix was located about 50 miles north of Aruba. Felix is tracking to the west-northwest near 18 mph and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. On this track the center of Felix will moving away from the Netherlands Antilles, and over the open waters of the central Caribbean Sea today and tonight. Maximum sustained winds are now near 105 mph. Felix is a category 2 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Strengthening is forecast, and Felix could become a major hurricane tonight or early on Monday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 MB.

A tropical storm warning and a hurricane watch are in effect for the islands of Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao.

A tropical storm watch remains in effect for Jamaica.

At 11am edt the government of the Cayman Islands has issued a tropical storm warning for Grand Cayman.

Interests elsewhere in the central and western Caribbean sea should closely monitor the progress of this system.

At 5am edt the center of Hurricane Felix was located about 85 miles east-northeast of Aruba. Felix is tracking to the west near 18 mph and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. On this track the center of Felix will pass very near to the north of Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao during the next few hours, and into the open waters of the central Caribbean sea later today and tonight. Data from an air force hurricane hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are now near 100 mph. Felix is a category 2 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Strengthening is forecast, and Felix could become a major hurricane during the next 24 hours. The reported minimum central pressure is 984 MB.

A tropical storm warning and a hurricane watch are in effect for the islands of Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao. A tropical storm warning also remains in effect for for the islands of Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao.

A tropical storm watch remains in effect for Jamaica.

Interests elsewhere in the central and western Caribbean sea should closely monitor the progress of this system.

At 11pm edt the center of Hurricane Felix was located about 210 miles east of Aruba. Felix is tracking to the west near 18 mph and a general motion towards the west or northwest is expected during the next 24 hours. On this track Felix will be passing just north of the islands of Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are now near 75 mph. Felix is a category 1 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Strengthening is forecast for the next 24 hours. The minimum central pressure is 993 MB.

At 11pm edt the government of the Dutch Netherlands Antillers has issued a hurricane watch for for the islands of Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao. A tropical storm warning also remains in effect for for the islands of Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao.

A tropical storm watch remains in effect for Jamaica.

Interests elsewhere in the central and western Caribbean sea should closely monitor the progress of this system.

At 5pm edt the center of Tropical Storm Felix was located about 395 miles south of San juan, Puerto Rico. Felix is tracking to the west near 18 mph and this general motion is expected to continue during the next 24 hours. On this track Felix will be passing near or to the north of the islands of Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao late tonight or early Sunday morning. Maximum sustained winds are now near 70 mph. Felix could become a hurricane late tonight or on Sunday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 MB.

A tropical storm warning remains in effect for the islands of Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao.

Interests elsewhere in the central and western Caribbean sea should closely monitor the progress of this system.

At 11am edt the center of Tropical Storm Felix was located about 455 miles south-southeast of San juan, Puerto Rico. Felix is tracking to the west near 18 mph and this motion is expected to continue during the next 24 hours. On this track Felix will be passing near or to the north of the islands of Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao late tonight or early Sunday morning. Maximum sustained winds have increased and are now near 65 mph. Felix could become a hurricane on Sunday. is scheduled to investigate Felix later this morning. The minimum central pressure reported by an air force reserve hurricane hunter aircraft was 1001 MB.

At 8am edt the tropical storm warning remains for Grenada is discontinued.

The tropical storm warning remains in effect for the islands of Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao.

A tropical storm watch remains in effect for the northern coast of Venezuela from Cumana to Pedernales including the island of Margarita.

Interests elsewhere in the eastern and central Caribbean sea should closely monitor the progress of this system.

At 5am edt the center of Tropical Storm Felix was located about 30 miles northwest of Grenada. Felix is tracking to the west near 18 mph and this motion is expected to continue during the next 24 hours. On this track Felix will move away from the southern Windward Islands later this morning and will be passing near the islands of Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao late tonight or early Sunday morning. Maximum sustained winds have increased and are now near 40 mph. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours. An air force hurricane hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate Felix later this morning. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 MB.

At 5am edt the government of the Netherlands Antilles and Aruba has issued a tropical storm warning for the islands of Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao.

At 5am edt the government of Trinidad and Tobago has discontinued the tropical storm warning for Tobago.

A tropical storm warning remains in effect for St. Vincent and the Grenadines, and for Grenada and its dependencies.

A tropical storm watch remains in effect for the northern coast of Venezuela from Cumana to Pedernales including the island of Margarita.

Interests elsewhere in the eastern and central Caribbean sea should closely monitor the progress of this system.

At 4pm cdt the center of Tropical Storm Dean was located about 40 miles west of Poza Rica Mexico. Dean is tracking to the west near 17 mph with winds of 70 mph and this motion is expected to continue until tonight. Continued weakening is expected until Dean dissipates over the mountains of central Mexico tonight or early Thursday. Estimated minimum central pressure is 975 MB.

At 10am cdt the center of Dean was located about 95 miles north of Veracruz Mexico. Hurricane Dean is tracking to the west-northwest at 18 mph with winds of 100 mph and this motion is expected to continue until landfall. On this track Dean is expected to reach the coast of Mexico near Tuxpan early this afternoon. Dean is a category 2 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Only a small amount of additional strengthening is likely prior to landfall. Minimum central pressure is 979 MB.

At 10am the government of Mexico has discontinued the hurricane warning east of Coatzacolcos. A hurricane warning is now in effect along the Gulf of Mexico from Coatzacolcos northward to La Cruz. Preparations in the hurricane warning area should already have been completed.

A tropical storm warning remains in effect from north of La Cruz to Bahia Algodones.

At 4am cdt the center of Dean was located about 120 miles northeast of Veracruz Mexico. Hurricane Dean is tracking to the west-northwest at 20 mph with winds of 80 mph and this motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. This motion should bring the center of Dean across the Gulf of Mexico later today. Dean is a category 1 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Some strengthening is possible before landfall followed by weakening afer landfall. Minimum central pressure is 979 MB.

At 4am the government of Mexico has extended the hurricane warning along the Gulf coast of Mexico to La Cruz. A hurricane warning is now in effect along the Gulf of Mexico from south of Campeche to La Cruz. Preparations in western portion of the hurricane warning area should be rushed to completion.

A tropical storm warning remains in effect from north of La Cruz to Bahia Algodones.

At 4pm cdt the center of Dean was located about 60 miles west-southwest of Campeche Mexico. Hurricane Dean is tracking to the west at 20 mph with winds of 80 mph. Dean is expected to move westward or west-northwestward for the next 24 hours. On the forecast track Dean is expected to very near the coast of central Mexico during Wednesday. Dean is a category 1 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours. The estimated minimum central pressure is 970 MB.

A hurricane warning remains in effect along the Gulf of Mexico from south of Progresso westward to Tampico. Preparations in western portion of the hurricane warning area should be rushed to completion.

A tropical storm warning remains in effect from north of Tampico to La Pesca.

At 10am cdt the center of Dean was located about 90 miles west-northwest of Chetumal Mexico. Hurricane Dean is tracking to the west at 20 mph with winds of 105 mph. Dean is expected to move westward or west-northwestward for today and tonight. On the forecast track the center will reach the southern bay of Campeche in a few hours. Dean is a category 2 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Although continued weakening is forecast as Dean crosses the Yucatan peninsula, Dean is still expected to be a hurricane when it reaches the Bay of Campeche. The estimated minimum central pressure is 950 MB.

At 10am cdt the government of Mexico has extended the hurricane warning northward from Veracruz to Tampico. A hurricane warning is now in effect along the the east coast of the Yucatan peninsula Of Mexico from the Belize/Mexican border northward to Cancun. A hurricane warning is also in effect along the west coast of the Yucatan and the Gulf of Mexico from south of Progresso westward to Tampico. Preparations in the hurricane warning area along the Gulf coast of Mexico should be rushed to completion.

At 10am cdt the government of Mexico has issued a tropical storm warning from north of Tampico to La Pesca. A tropical warning is now in effect along the northern coast of the Yucatan peninsula from the north of Cancun to Progresso and north of Tampico to La Pesca.

At 10am cdt the government of Cuba has discontinued all remaining watches for Cuba.

Potentially catastrophic Major Hurricane Dean is just a few hours from landfall along the east coast of the Yucatan peninsula. Dean continues to track to the west at 20 mph with winds of 160 mph. Dean is approximately 150 miles east of Chetumal Mexico. Dean is expected to move westward or west-northwestward for the next 24 hours to make landfall on the Yucatan peninsula very early on Tuesday morning. Conditions on the coastline will deteriorate well in advance of the arrival of the center. The minimum central pressure is 916 MB.

At 11pm edt the government of Mexico has extended the hurricane warning westward from Ciudad del Carmen to chilitepec. A hurricane warning is now in effect for the entire coastline of Belize, along the east coast of the Yucatan peninsula Of Mexico from the Belize/Mexican border northward to Cancun, and along the west coast of the Yucatan peninsula from south of Progresso southward to Chilitepec. Preparations to protect life and property along the east coast of the Yucatan peninsula should have already been completed. Preparations elsewhere in the hurricane warning area to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

At 11pm edt the government of Mexico has issued a tropical storm warning and a hurricane watch from west of Chilitepec westward to Veracruz Mexico, and a hurricane watch has also been issued from Veracruz to Tampico.

At a tropical storm warning remains in effect on the Yucatan peninsula from the north of Cancun to Progresso.

A tropical storm watch remains in effect for the following provinces of Cuba - Pinar del Rio, La Habana and the Isla de la Juventud.

Interests elsewhere in the southern Gulf of Mexico should closely monitor the progress of Dean.

Hurricane Dean very near category five strength. Outer bands arriving along east coast of the Yucatan peninsula.

Extremely dangerous Major Hurricane Dean continues to track to the west at 20 mph with winds of 150 mph. Dean is approximately 270 miles east of Chetumal Mexico. Dean is expected to move westward or west-northwestward for the next 24 hours to make landfall on the Yucatan peninsula very early on Tuesday morning. Conditions on the coastline will deteriorate well in advance of the arrival of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 918 MB.

At 5pm edt the government of Mexico has issued a tropical storm watch from the west of Ciudad del Carmen to Veracruz.

At 5pm edt all warnings in the Cayman Islands are discontinued.

A tropical storm watch remains in effect for the following provinces of Cuba - Pinar del Rio, La Habana and the Isla de la Juventud. All other watches and warnings in Cuba are discontinued.

A hurricane warning remains in effect for the entire coastline of Belize along the east coast of the Yucatan peninsula from the Belize/Mexico border northward to Cancun, and along the west coast of the Yucatan peninsula from the south of Progresso soutward to Ciudad del Carmen. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

At a tropical storm warning remains in effect on the Yucatan peninsula from the north of Cancun to Progresso.

Interests elsewhere in the southern Gulf of Mexico should closely minitor the progress of Dean.

Extremely dangerous Major Hurricane Dean continues to track to the west at 21 mph with winds of 150 mph. Dean is approximately 125 miles southwest of Grand Cayman. Dean is expected to move westward or west-northwestward for the next 24 hours to make landfall on the Yucatan peninsula very early on Tuesday morning. Conditions on the coastline will deteriorate well in advance of the arrival of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 925 MB.

At 11am edt the government of Mexico has issued a hurricane warning for the west coast of the Yucatan peninsula from south of Progresso southward to Ciudad del Carmen. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

At 11am edt the government of Belize has extended a hurricane warning southward from Belize City to the border with Guatemala. A hurricane warning is now in effect for the whole of Belize.

At 11am edt the government of Mexico has issued a tropical storm warning from the north of Cancun to Progresso.

At 11am edt the government of Jamaica has replaced the hurricane warning for Jamaica with a tropical storm warning. The tropical storm warning will likely be lowered early this afternoon.

A hurricane warning remains in effect for the east coast of the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico from the border with Belize northward to Cancun. A hurricane warning remains in effect for the Cayman Islands.

A tropical storm warning remains in effect for portions of the eastern Cuba, from the province of Camaguey eastward to the province of Guantanamo.

A tropical storm watch remains in effect for the following provinces of Cuba -Pinar del Rio, La Habana, Ciego de Avila, Sancti Spiritus, Cienfuegos, Matanzas and the Isla de la Juventud.

Interests elsewhere in the western Caribbean and the southern Gulf of Mexico should closely minitor the progress of Dean.

Extremely dangerous Major Hurricane Dean continues to track to the west at 21 mph with winds of 150 mph. On the forecast track, the center of Dean is headed for the Yucatan Peninsula. The estimated minimum central pressure is 926 MB.

A hurricane warning is in effect for the coast of Belize and the east coast of the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico from Belize city northward to Cancun. A hurricane warning remains in effect for Jamaica and the Cayman Islands. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

A hurricane watch is in effect along the northern and western coasts of the Yucatan peninsula from north of Cancun to Ciudad del Carmen. At 5am edt the government of Belize has changed the tropical storm watch to a tropical storm warning for portions of the coast of Belize from south of Belize city southward to the Belize/Guatemala border.

A tropical storm warning remains in effect for portions of eastern Cuba, from the province of Camaguey eastward to the province of Guantanamo.

A tropical storm watch remains in effect for the following provinces of Cuba - Pinar del Rio, La Habana, Ciego de Avila, Sancti Spiritus, Cienfuegos, Matanzas and the Isla de la Juventud.

Interests elsewhere in the western Caribbean and the southern Gulf of Mexico should closely monitor the progress of Dean.

Major Hurricane Dean continues to track to the west at 20 mph with winds of 145 mph. A motion between west and west-northwest is expected over the next 24 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Dean will be passing along or just south of the southern coast of Jamaica over the next several hours. Fluctuations in intensity of major hurricanes are common, and are possible during the next 24 hours. Dean has the potential to become a category 5 hurricane in the northern Caribbean tomorrow. The estimated minimum central pressure is 930 MB.

The hurricane warning for the southwestern peninsula of Haiti from Port-au-Prince to the Haiti-Dominican republic border is replace with a tropican storm warning.

A hurricane warning remains in effect for Jamaica and the Cayman Islands. Preparations to protect life and property in Jamaica should already have been completed. Preparations in the Caymand Islands should be rushed to completion.

A hurricane watch remains in effect from Chetumal to San Felipe on the Yucatan peninsula. Hurricane conditions could also spread across northern Belize, and tropican storm conditions are possible elsewhere in Belize.

A tropical storm warning is also in effect for portions of the eastern Cuba, from the province of Camaguey eastward to the province of Guantanamo.

A tropical storm watch remains in effect for the following provinces of Cuba - Pinar del Rio, La Habana, Ciego de Avila, Sancti Spiritus, Cienfuegos, Matanzas and the Isla de la Juventud.

Major Hurricane Dean continues to track to the west at 18 mph with winds of 145 mph. Further strengthening of Dean is expected as it moves through the Caribbean. Dean is a dangerous category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale.

The government of Mexico has issued a hurricane warning from Chetumal to San Felipe on the Yucatan peninsula.

The government of Cuba has issued a tropical storm watch for the provinces of Pinar del Rio and La Habana. A tropical storm watch is now in effect for the provinces of Ciego de Avila, Sancti Spiritus, Cienfuegos, Matanzas and Isla de la Juventud.

A hurricane warning remains in effect for the southwestern peninsula of Haiti from the Haiti-Dominican Republic border to Port-au-Prince. A hurricane warning is in effect for Jamaica and the Cayman Islands. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

A tropical storm warning remains in effect for the coast of Haiti north of Port-au- Prince to the northern

Haiti-Dominican Republic border. A tropical storm warning remains in effect for portions of eastern Cuba from the province of Camaguey eastward to the province of Guantanamo.

Interests elsewhere in the western Caribbean and southern gulf of Mexico should closely monitor the progress of Dean.

At 5pm edt the center of Dean was located 130 miles east-southeast of Kingston, Jamaica. Minimum central pressure is 926 MB.

Major Hurricane Dean continues to track to the west at 18 mph with winds of 145 mph. Further strengthening of Dean is expected as it moves through the Caribbean. Dean is a dangerous category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale.

A hurricane warning remains in effect for the southwestern peninsula of Haiti from the Haiti-Dominican Republic border to Port-au-Prince. A hurricane warning is in effect for Jamaica and the Cayman Islands.

A tropical storm warning remains in effect for the coast of Haiti north of Port-au- Prince to the northern Haiti-Dominican Republic border. A tropical storm warning remains in effect for portions of eastern Cuba from the province of Camaguey eastward to the province of Guantanamo.

A tropical storm warning is in effect for portions of central Cuba, For the provinces of Ciego de Avila, Sancti Spiritus, Cienfuegos, Matanzas and Isla de la Juventud.

Interests elsewhere in the western Caribbean including western Cuba and the Yucatan Peninsula should closely monitor Dean's progress.

At 5pm edt the center of Dean was located 245 miles east-southeast of Kingston, Jamaica. Minimum central pressure is 921 MB.

Major Hurricane Dean continues to track to the west at 18 mph with winds of 150 mph. Further strengthening of Dean is expected as it moves through the Caribbean. Dean is a dangerous category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale.

A hurricane warning remains in effect for the south coast of the Dominican Republic from Barahona westward to the Haiti-Dominican Republic border - and for the southwestern peninsula of Haiti from the Haiti-Dominican Republic border to Port-au-Prince. A hurricane warning is in effect for Jamaica.

A tropical storm warning remains in effect along the south coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano westward to Barahona and for the coast of Haiti north of Port-au- Prince to the northern Haiti-Dominican Republic border. A tropical storm warning remains in effect for portions of Cuba from the province of Camaguey eastward to the province of Guantanamo.

A hurricane watch remains in effect fot the Cayman Islands.

Interests elsewhere in the western Caribbean including western Cuba and the Yucatan Peninsula should closely monitor Dean's progress.

At 5pm edt the center of Dean was located 455 miles east-southeast of Kingston, Jamaica. Minimum central pressure is 930 MB.

Major Hurricane Dean continues to track to the west at 17 mph with winds of 150 mph. Further strengthening of Dean is expected as it moves through the Caribbean. Dean is a dangerous category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale.

At 11am edt the government of Jamaica has issued a hurricane warning for Jamaica. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

A tropical storm warning remains in effect for the British Virgin Islands, US Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. A hurricane warning remains in effect for the south coast of the Dominican Republic from Barahona westward to the Haiti-Dominican Republic border - and for the southwestern peninsula of Haiti from the Haiti-Dominican Republic border to Port-au-Prince.

A tropical storm warning remains in effect along the south coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano westward to Barahona and for the coast of Haiti north of Port-au- Prince to the northern Haiti-Dominican Republic border.

The government of Cayman Islands has issued a hurricane watch for the Cayman Islands.

A tropical storm watch remains in effect for portions of Cuba from the province of Camaguey eastward to the province of Guantanamo.

Interests elsewhere in the central and western Caribbean including western Cuba, the Cayman Islands and the Yucatan Peninsula should closely monitor Dean's progress.

At 11am edt the center of Dean was located 565 miles east-southeast of Kingston, Jamaica. Minimum central pressure is 929 MB.

Major Hurricane Dean continues to track to the west at 17 mph with winds of 150 mph. Further strengthening of Dean is expected as it moves through the Caribbean. Dean is a dangerous category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale.

A Hurricane warning is in effect for the south coast of the Dominican Republic from Barahona westward to the Haiti/Dominican Republic border...and for the southwestern peninsula of Haiti from the Haiti Dominican Republic border to Port-au-Prince.

A hurricane watch remains in effect for Jamaica. A tropical storm warning remains in effect for the British Virgin Islands, US Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. A tropical storm warning remains in effect for the south coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano westward to Barahona...and for the coast of Haiti north of Port-au-Prince to the northen Haiti-Dominican Republic border. A tropical storm watch is in effect for portions of Cuba from the province of Camaguey eastward to the province of Guantanamo. Interests elsewhere in the central and western Caribbean including western Cuba, the Cayman Islands and the Yucatan Peninsula should closely monitor Dean's progress.

At 5am edt the center of Dean was located 660 miles east-southeast of Kingston, Jamiaca. Minimum central pressure is 930 MB.

Major Hurricane Dean continues to track to the west at 22 mph with winds of 125 mph. Dean is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Further strengthening is expected as it moves through the Caribbean.

Hurricane warnings remain in force for Guadeloupe and it's dependencies.

A tropical storm warning remains in effect for the US Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. A tropical storm warning remains in force for Montserrat, Antigua, St. Kitts, Nevis, Barbuda, Anguilla and the British Virgin Islands. A tropical storm warning is in effect for the south coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to the Haiti/Dominican Republic border. A tropical storm warning and a hurricane watch remains in effect for the Haiti/Dominican Republic border to Port-au-Prince. The government of Jamaica has issued a hurricane watch for Jamaica. The government of Cuba has issued a tropical storm watch for the province of Camaguey eastward to the province of Guantanamo. Interests elsewhere in the central and west Caribbean including the Cayman Islands should closely monitor Dean's progress.

At 5pm edt the center of Dean was located 260 miles south-southeast of San Juan Puerto Rico. Minimum central pressure is 961 MB.

Dean continues to track to the west at 21 mph with winds of 105 mph. Further strengthening of Dean is expected as it moves through the Caribbean and is expected to become a Major Hurricane.

Hurricane warnings remain in force for Dominica and St. Lucia, Martinique, Guadeloupe and it's dependencies. Preparations to protect life and property should be very near completion.

A tropical storm warning remains in effect for the US Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. A tropical storm warning remains in force for Saba, St. Eustatius, Montserrat, Antigua, St. Kitts, Nevis, Barbuda, St. Maarten and Anguilla and the British Virgin Islands. The hurricane warning for St. Lucia has been downgraded to a tropical storm warning. A tropical storm warning is in effect for the south coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to the Haiti/Dominican Republic border. A hurricane watch has been issued from Cabo Beata to the Haiti/Dominican Republic border. A tropical storm warning and a hurricane watch has been issued from the Haiti/Dominican Republic border to Port-au-Prince. Interests elsewhere in the central and west Caribbean including Jamaica and Cayman Islands should closely monitor Dean's progress.

At 11am edt the center of Dean was located 105 miles west of Martinique. Minimum central pressure is 964 MB.

Dean continues to track to the west at 24 mph with winds of 100 mph. Further strengthening of Dean is expected as it moves through the Caribbean. Some decrease in forward speed is expected during the next 24 hours.

Hurricane warnings remain in force for Dominica and St. Lucia, Martinique, Guadeloupe and it's dependencies. Preparations to protect life and property should be very near completion.

The met service of Antigua has issued a tropical storm warning for the British Virgin Islands. A tropical storm warning remains in force for Grenada and it's dependencies, Barbados, Saba, St. Eustatius, the Grenadines and St. Vincent, Montserrat, Antigua, St. Kitts, Nevis, Barbuda, St. Maartenen and Anguilla. A tropical storm warning remains in effect for the US Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. A tropical storm watch is in effect for the southwestern peninsula of Haiti from Port Au Prince to the Haiti/Dominican Republic border. A tropical storm watch remains in effect for the south coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to the Haiti/Dominican Republic border. Interests elsewhere in the Lesser Antilles and western Caribbean including Jamaica and Cayman Islands should closely monitor Dean's progress.

At 5am edt the center of Dean was located in the St. Lucia channel between St. Lucia and Martinique. Minimum central pressure is 976 MB.

Dean continues to track to the west at 25 mph with winds of 100 mph. Further strengthening of Dean is expected as it gets into the Caribbean.

Hurricane warnings remain in force for Dominica and St. Lucia, Martinique, Guadeloupe and it's dependencies. Preparations to protect life and property should be very near completion.

A tropical storm warning remains in force for Grenada and it's dependencies, Barbados, Saba, St. Eustatius, the Grenadines and St. Vincent, Montserrat, Antigua, St. Kitts, Nevis, Barbuda, St. Maartenen and Anguilla. A tropical storm warning has been issued for the US Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. Interests in the Lesser Antilles, Hispaniola, Jamaica, and eastern Cuba should monitor Dean's progress.

The center of Dean will be passing very near to the islands of St. Lucia and Martinique within the next six to twelve hours. Minimum central pressure is 976 MB.

Dean's current position is approximately 80 miles northeast of Barbados.

Dean continues to track to the west at 23 mph with winds of 100 mph. Further strengthening of Dean is expected as it gets into the Caribbean.

Hurricane warnings remain in force for Dominica and St. Lucia. The government of France has issued a hurricane warning for Martinique, Guadeloupe and it's dependencies. A tropical storm warning remains in force for Grenada and it's dependencies, Barbados, Saba, St. Eustatius, the Grenadines and St. Vincent, Montserrat, Antigua, St. Kitts, Nevis, Barbuda, and St. Maartenen. A tropical storm watch has been issued for the US Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. Interests in the Lesser Antilles, Hispaniola, Jamaica, and eastern Cuba should monitor Dean's progress.

Dean's motion is expected to bring it near the Lesser Antilles on Friday. Dean is a category 2 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. A hurricane hunter aircraft has established the position of Dean. Minimum central pressure is 979 MB. Dean's current position is approximately 210 miles east-northeast of Barbados.

Dean continues to track to the west at 23 mph with winds of 90 mph. Further strengthening of Dean is expected as it gets into the Caribbean. The NHC have stated that Dean is a small hurricane.

Hurricane warnings remain in force for Dominica and St. Lucia. A hurricane watch is in effect for Martinique, Guadeloupe and it's dependencies. The government of France states that it will likely issue a hurricane warning for Martinique, Guadeloupe and it's dependencies.A tropical storm warning remains in force for Barbados. The Barbados met service has introduced a tropical storm warning for grenadines and St. Vincent. A tropical storm warning has been issued by the met service of Antigua for the islands of Montserrat, Antigua, St. Kitts, Nevis and Barbuda. The Tropical Storm watch for St. Maarten has been changed to a tropical storm warning. A tropical storm watch remains for Grenada and it's dependencies. Interests in the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rica/Hispanniola should monitor Dean's progress.

Dean's motion is expected to bring it near the Lesser Antilles on Friday. Dean is a category 1 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. A hurricane hunter aircraft has established the position of Dean. Minimum central pressusre is 979 MB.

Tropical Depression Erin is moving to the northwest over Texas at 12 mph with maximum sustained windsof 35 mph. Since this site only tracks Tropical Storms and Hurricanes, this will be the last tracking map for Erin.

Dean became a hurricane at 5am eastern time and is still tracking to the west at 24 mph with winds of 75 mph. Further strengthening of Dean is expected as it gets into the Caribbean. The NHC state that Dean is a small hurricane. Hurricane warnings have been set for Dominica and St. Lucia. A hurricane watch is in effect for Martinique, Guadeloupe and it's dependencies - Saba and Eustatius. A tropical storm warning has been set for Barbados. The Met Service of Barbados has issued a tropical storm watch for St. Vincent. A tropical storm watch remains for St. Maarten. Interests in the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rica/Hispanniola should monitor Dean's progress. Dean's motion is expected to bring it near the Lesser Antilles on Friday. Dean is a category 1 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. A hurricane hunter aircraft will investigate Dean this afternoon Dean's current position is approximately 485 miles east of the Barbados.

Tropical Storm Erin is moving to the west-northwest at 12 mph with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph. Erin is expected to cross the Texas coast as a tropical storm very soon.

Tropical Storm Dean is still tracking to the west at 22 mph knots with winds of 65 mph and is still expected to strengthen further within the next 24 hours. The NHC state that Dean is a small tropical cyclone, and that it could become a hurricane tonight or early tommorow. Dean's current position is approximately 910 miles east of the Lesser Antilles.

Tropical Storm Erin is moving to the northwest at 13 mph with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph. Erin is expected to cross the Texas coast as a tropical storm before morning.

Tropical Storm Dean continues to track to the west at 20mph with winds of 60 mph. Dean is expected to strengthen further within the next 24 hours. Dean's current position is approximately 1050 miles east of the Lesser Antilles

Tropical Storm Dean apppeared to the east of the Caribbean. Dean is still tracking to the west at 16 knots with winds of 45 knots and is expected to strengthen within the next 24 hours. Dean's current position is approximately 1170 miles east of the Lesser Antilles.

Tropical Depression Barry continues on it's northwards track up the east coast. It will shortly pass over Florida as a 35 mph tropical depression, and the NHC expect it to become subtropical thereafter. This turned out to be not as bad as might have been expected, which is very good news. I'm not sure residents will be so lucky during the rest of the 2007 hurricane season, since it is expected by the authorities to be a very active season. Let's hope they turn out to be wrong.

Here's a snippet from the 1100edt Advisory:

TROPICAL DEPRESSION BARRY ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022007 1100 AM EDT SAT JUN 02 2007 ...BARRY WEAKENED AS IT MOVED INLAND ACROSS TAMPA BAY... AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR FLORIDA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT NORTH OF TAMPA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 100 MILES...160 KM... NORTH- NORTHWEST OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 23 MPH ...37 KM/HR. THE GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.

Barry is currently 85 miles southwest of Tampa Florida. Tropical Storm Barry is moving towards the east-northeast at 20 mph with winds of 50 mph.

Barry is currently 180 miles southwest of Tampa Florida.

Barry is currently 240 miles south-southwest of Tampa Florida.

Barry is currently 270 miles southwest of Tampa Florida.

Well it's official. As predicted, the NHC (National Hurricane Center) has classified 92L as Tropical Storm Barry. Barry is close enough to Florida to cause some consternation, especially if Barry continues to intensify against the odds. It seems that the weather people may have got it wrong this time - that's how difficult it is to predict what the weather is going to do, particularly tropical weather. Tropical Storm Barry is moving towards the north at 12mph with winds of 45mph. The NHC expect Barry to become extratropical within 36 hours.

Andrea weakens to a tropical depression off the coast of Florida.

SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDREA ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012007 1100 AM EDT THU MAY 10 2007

...ANDREA WEAKENS TO A SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION...

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES IS DISCONTINUED.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDREA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.9 WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES...160 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA AND ABOUT 80 MILES...130 KM...NORTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.

THE DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING GENERALLY SOUTHWARD...AND THIS SLOW MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANDREA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OFFSHORE FROM THE NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA COAST TODAY.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIR FORCE PLANE WAS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

ANDREA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE-HALF TO ONE INCH ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...29.9 N...79.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...SOUTH NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.

SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012007 500 AM EDT THU MAY 10 2007

...ANDREA WEAKENS SLIGHTLY...DRIFTING SOUTHWESTWARD...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA SOUTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.0 WEST OR ABOUT 135 MILES...215 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA AND ABOUT 100 MILES...165 KM...NORTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.

THE STORM IS DRIFTING SOUTHWESTWARD...AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

ANDREA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE-HALF TO ONE INCH ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S.

SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012007 800 PM EDT WED MAY 09 2007

...ANDREA BARELY MOVING...REMAINS DISORGANIZED...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA SOUTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE BROAD CENTER OF CIRCULATION OF SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 79.5 WEST OR ABOUT 110 MILES...175 KM...SOUTHEAST OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA AND ABOUT 135 MILES ...220 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.

ANDREA HAS BEEN MEANDERING DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...A GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...MAINLY EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

ANDREA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF LESS THAN HALF AN INCH IN MOST LOCATIONS IN COASTAL AREAS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF ABOUT 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE SLOWER-MOVING RAINBANDS.

Andrea is still tracking to the west at 5mph. Winds are 40 knots.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA SOUTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 80.1W AT 09/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 0SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

Andrea makes an early appearance as a subtropical storm off the coast of Florida. This is the NHC forecast for Andrea at 1500 GMT.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA SOUTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 79.3W AT 09/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 0SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 79.3W AT 09/1500Z AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 79.1W

The Navymil watch developing tropical systems, and perform reconnaisance on them. This development cycle goes through two initial stages - the investigation cycle followed by the reporting cycle.

In the investigation cycle, systems are given a codename beginning at 90, then progessing through 91, 92 etc. for subsequent systems. The L suffix indicates an Atlantic system, the .Invest indicates an investigation. When they get to 99 they start back at the beginning.

During the reporting cycle, when the system has been deemed to have reached tropical depression status, codes 00 to 09 are used with a character-based name suffix.

Once the system has become a tropical depression the National Hurricane Center begins reporting it, and they produce their first forecast and map. The NHC notation for the depression is to use the name 'Tropical Depression ' followed by an uppercase, character-based value. The first depression of the season becomes ONE. By the sixth depression they are using the notation 'Tropical Depression SIX'.