...WARNING EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF HISPANIOLA...

AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTH COAST OF HAITI FROM THE BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WESTWARD TO LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS AT THE NORTHWESTERN TIP OF HAITI. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF HISPANIOLA FROM CABO ENGANO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS HAITI.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO PUNTA PALENQUE.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH OR WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS LATER TODAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.0 WEST OR ABOUT 130 MILES...205 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND ABOUT 125 MILES...205 KM...WEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.

OLGA IS MOVING JUST SOUTH OF DUE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF OLGA IS EXPECTED TO PASS VERY CLOSE TO THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY...BUT SOME WEAKENING IS LIKELY TOMORROW AS OLGA ENCOUNTERS STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS.

OLGA'S STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION...WHICH IS A CHARACTERISTIC OF SUBTROPICAL CYCLONES. WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 41043...ABOUT 270 MILES FROM THE CENTER...RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 40 MPH WITH A GUST TO 54 MPH.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

...LOW PRESSURE AREA NEAR PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS DEVELOPS INTO SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA...

AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC....THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO BAHIO DE MANZANILLO AT THE BORDER OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO PUNTA PALENQUE SOUTHWEST OF SANTO DOMINGO.

INTERESTS IN PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OLGA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE BROAD CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.3 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES... 85 KM...EAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT 300 MILES...485 KM...EAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

OLGA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE CENTER NEAR THE NORTHERN COAST OF PUERTO RICO LATER TONIGHT...AND NEAR OR OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MAINLY WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER APPROACHES THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 41043 RECENTLY REPORTED 1-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS OF 38 MPH...61 KM/HR...AT AN ELEVATION OF 5 METERS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. ST. THOMAS IN THE VIRGIN ISLANDS RECENTLY REPORTED A PRESSURE OF 1006.4 MB...29.72 INCHES.

Invest 94L has popped up in the far east Caribbean near Barbuda. It is moving towards the west-northwest with winds of tropical storm strength. It will most likely be classified quite soon by the NHC, and will then become Tropical Storm Olga.

The last NHC report was the final advisory on extra-tropical storm Noel. All tracking of Noel has now ceased on this site.

Tropical Storm Noel still moving west over Cuba. Here's the NHC's 1700edt report:

Tropical Storm Noel has weakened whilst moving west over Cuba. Here's the NHC's 1100edt report:

Tropical Storm Noel is tracking towards the northwest and following the northern coast of Cuba. Here's the NHC's 0500edt report:

Tropical Storm Noel is tracking towards the northwest and following the northern coast of Cuba. Here's the NHC's 2300edt report:

...NOEL PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUING OVER HISPANIOLA...TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR SOUTHEAST FLORIDA EARLY TUESDAY...

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING WESTWARD TO INCLUDE THE PROVINCE OF CIEGO DE AVILA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS... HOLGUIN...AND GUANTANAMO.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR HAITI HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

INTEREST IN SOUTHERN FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NOEL. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR SOUTHEAST FLORIDA EARLY TUESDAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NOEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.0 WEST OR ABOUT 305 MILES...490 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NASSAU.

NOEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF NOEL SHOULD MOVE BETWEEN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND THE NORTHERN COAST OF CUBA TONIGHT AND TOMORROW.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE WARNING AREAS.

NOEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 30 INCHES. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEASTERN CUBA...AND THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. THESE RAINS...PARTICULARLY IN HISPANIOLA...ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...21.2 N...75.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

STATUS: Tracking Tropical Storm Noel to northwest of Haiti.

29th October, 2007 1700edt News

The track of Tropical Storm still continues to be somewhat erratic, and it's position according to the NHC is jumping all over the place. The forecast is for Noel to track northwest towards Florida at 15mph. This is the best we can expect at the moment.

Here's the NHC's 1700edt report:

...NOEL SLIGHTLY STRONGER... ...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED ACROSS HISPANIOLA...PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...AND EASTERN CUBA...

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA IN THE PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY AND LAS TUNAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA IN THE PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO AND HOLGUIN.

AT 500 PM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER OF THE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO GONAIVES.

INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NOEL.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NOEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.2 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES... 80 KM...NORTH OF THE EASTERN TIP OF CUBA AND ABOUT 215 MILES...340 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GREAT EXUMA ISLAND IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.

NOEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF NOEL SHOULD MOVE BETWEEN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND THE NORTHERN COAST OF CUBA TONIGHT AND TOMORROW.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.

STATUS: Tracking Tropical Storm Noel to over Haiti.

29th October, 2007 1100edt News

Tropical Storm Noel's track still continues to be somewhat erratic, but the general trend appears to be northwards then northeastwards away from land. Here's the NHC's 1100edt report:

...CENTER OF DISORGANIZED NOEL ABOUT TO EMERGE OFF THE NORTH COAST OF HAITI...NEW WARNINGS ISSUED FOR THE BAHAMAS...

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS UPGRADED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 1100 AM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED IN THE PROVINCES OF GRANMA AND SANTIAGO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO AND HOLGUIN.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF HAITI.

AT 1100 AM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR JAMAICA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS LATER TODAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NOEL WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.0 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES...130 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE EASTERN TIP OF CUBA AND ABOUT 300 MILES...500 KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE NOEL THIS AFTERNOON TO MORE PRECISELY LOCATE THE CIRCULATION CENTER.

NOEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...NOEL WILL BE MOVING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

Tropical Storm Noel's forecast track has now been revised by the NHC. Noel is moving towards the north-northwest at near to 5 mph with maximum sustained winds of 60 mph. Current forecast track curves it towards the northeast after passing the Bahamas on Wednesday. Here's the NHC's 1700edt report:

...NOEL A LITTLE STRONGER AS IT APPROACHES HISPANIOLA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS RECOMMENDED FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD.

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR HAITI HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO INCLUDE THE ENTIRE COAST OF HAITI.

AT 500 PM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA IN THE PROVINCES OF GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GUANTANAMO... AND HOLGUIN. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NOEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.9 WEST OR ABOUT 125 MILES...205 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT 320 MILES...515 KM...SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA.

NOEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR. A CONTINUED MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF NOEL WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER SOUTHWESTERN HAITI TONIGHT.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH FROM THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT WAS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.

TD 14 has been meandering around the Caribbean for quite a few days now, but it has since taken a turn towards the west-northwest and has strengthened into a tropical storm at 1340edt. Tropical Storm Noel has maximum sustained winds of 50 mph and is heading towards Florida in the next couple of days. Tracking of Noel will begin from the 1700edt report. Here's the NHC's 1340edt report:

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION HAS STRENGTHENED TO A TROPICAL STORM WITH MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR 50 MPH. A SPECIAL ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED AT APPROXIMATELY 200 PM EDT...AND THE SPECIAL PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL TAKE THE PLACE OF THE INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY PREVIOUSLY SCHEDULED FOR THAT TIME.