All data provided by the National Hurricane Center.
The 2014 Hurricane Season
2014 Opening Season Preamble (as at March, 2014)
As usual, we will do our best to track all the active storms in the 2014 hurricane season, so keep checking
this page regularly. Hurricane Arthur or Tropical Storm Arthur will be the
first of the season when it appears, and we will be ready to track it.
2014 ATLANTIC BASIN SEASONAL HURRICANE FORECAST HURRICANE ACTIVITY FOR 2014
Information obtained through March 2014 by Dr. Phil Klotzbach
and Dr. William Gray at Colorado State University indicates that the
2014 Atlantic hurricane season will have below-average activity compared
with the 1981 – 2010 climatology.
“It appears quite likely that an El Niño of at least moderate strength
will develop this summer and fall. In addition, the tropical Atlantic
has anomalously cooled over the past few months. We anticipate
a below-average probability for major hurricanes making landfall along
the United States coastline and in the Caribbean. Despite the quiet
forecast, residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making
landfall to make it an active season for them. They are reminded to
prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much or how little
activity is predicted.”
Seasonal updates of their 2014 Atlantic basin hurricane forecasts will be
issued on Monday, June 2 and Thursday, July 31. They will also be
issuing two-week forecasts for Atlantic tropical cyclone activity during the
climatological peak of the season from August – October. A verification
and discussion of all 2014 forecasts will be issued in late November 2014.
All of these forecasts will be available on the web at:
LANDFALL PREDICTIONS PROBABILITIES FOR AT LEAST ONE MAJOR (CATEGORY 3–4–5) HURRICANE LANDFALL ON EACH OF
THE FOLLOWING COASTAL AREAS:
* Entire U.S. coastline – 35%
(average for last century is 52%)
* U.S. East Coast Including Peninsula
Florida – 20% (average for last
century is 31%)
* Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle
westward to Brownsville, TX – 19%
(average for last century is 30%)
PROBABILITY FOR AT LEAST ONE MAJOR CATEGORY 3–4–5) HURRICANE TRACKING INTO THE CARIBBEAN (10 – 20°N, 60 – 88°W)
Here's the list of 2014 contenders.