For the north Atlantic...Caribbean sea and the Gulf of Mexico...

Corrected to add tropical-storm force wind distance

...center of tropical storm Bonnie moving northwestward near the central Bahamas...

Summary of 800 pm edt...0000 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
Location...23.1n 75.9w
About 165 mi...265 km se of Nassau
About 385 mi...615 km ese of Key west Florida
Maximum sustained winds...40 mph...65 km/hr
Present movement...nw or 310 degrees at 14 mph...22 km/hr
Minimum central pressure...1007 mb...29.74 inches

Watches and warnings
--------------------
Changes with this advisory...

none

For the north Atlantic...Caribbean sea and the Gulf of Mexico...

Air force reconnaissance plane finds that the tropical depression has not strengthened...

Summary of 500 pm edt...2100 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
Location...22.7n 75.4w
About 205 mi...325 km se of Nassau
About 425 mi...685 km ese of Key west Florida
Maximum sustained winds...35 mph...55 km/hr
Present movement...nw or 310 degrees at 14 mph...22 km/hr
Minimum central pressure...1006 mb...29.71 inches

Watches and warnings
--------------------
Changes with this advisory...

none

For the north Atlantic...Caribbean sea and the Gulf of Mexico...

Tropical depression forms in the Bahamas...air force reconnaissance plane en route...

Summary of 1100 am edt...1500 utc...information
-----------------------------------------------
Location...21.9n 75.0w
About 265 mi...425 km se of Nassau
About 405 mi...655 km ese of Key Largo Florida
Maximum sustained winds...35 mph...55 km/hr
Present movement...wnw or 295 degrees at 15 mph...24 km/hr
Minimum central pressure...1008 mb...29.77 inches

Watches and warnings --------------------
Changes with this advisory...
The government of the Bahamas has issued a tropical storm warning for the central and northwestern Bahamas.

A tropical storm warning has been issued for the Florida east coast from Golden beach southward including the entire Florida keys and Florida bay...and along the west coast of Florida northward to Bonita beach.

A tropical storm watch has been issued for the east coast of Florida from north of Golden beach to Jupiter inlet including lake Okeechobee.

Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.

For the north Atlantic...Caribbean sea and the Gulf of Mexico...

1. early morning satellite images indicate that the shower activity associated with the tropical wave moving across Hispaniola has become less organized. Consequently...the air force reconnaissance mission has been postponed until tomorrow. A tropical depression is not expected to form today but environmental conditions are still favorable for some development as the system moves toward the west-northwest at about 10 mph away from Hispaniola into the Bahamas on Thursday. There is a high chance...60 percent...of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Regardless of development...locally heavy rains and gusty winds will continue to affect the Virgin islands...Puerto Rico and Hispaniola today and will likely spread over the Turks and Caicos islands...and the Bahamas during the next couple of days. The heavy rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides in mountainous areas.

Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.

For the north Atlantic...Caribbean sea and the Gulf of Mexico...

1. a vigorous tropical wave...located near the eastern Dominican Republic...is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms extending from the northern Leeward islands westward to Hispaniola. Surface observations indicate that a closed circulation has not yet formed. However...environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for tropical cyclone formation as the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph during the next day or so. There is a high chance... 60 percent...of this system becoming a tropical depression or a tropical storm during the next 48 hours. Regardless of development...locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds will likely affect the Virgin islands...Puerto Rico...the Dominican republic... Haiti...eastern Cuba...the Turks and Caicos islands... and the Bahamas during the next couple of days. The heavy rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides in mountainous areas.

Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.

For the north Atlantic...Caribbean sea and the Gulf of Mexico...

1. a vigorous tropical wave located near Puerto Rico is producing a large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms across the northern Leeward islands...the Virgin islands...Puerto Rico...the Dominican Republic...and the adjacent waters. Although the thunderstorm activity has become more concentrated near Puerto Rico and the Virgin islands this morning...there are currently no signs of a surface circulation. Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat favorable for development during the next day or so. There is a medium chance...40 percent...of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as the disturbance moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. Regardless of development... locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds will likely affect the northern Leeward islands...the Virgin islands...Puerto Rico...the Dominican Republic...Haiti...eastern Cuba...the Turks and Caicos islands...and the southeastern Bahamas during the next couple of days.

Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.

Depression inland near Texas-Mexico border...continues bringing rains to southern Texas and northeastern Mexico....

This will be the last report for Tropical Depression 2.

Summary of 400 pm cdt...2100 utc...information
-----------------------------------------------
Location...26.2n 98.4w
About 10 mi...15 km W of McAllen Texas
Maximum sustained winds...30 mph...45 km/hr
Present movement...WNW or 285 degrees at 13 mph...20 km/hr
Minimum central pressure...1008 mb...29.77 inches

Depression makes landfall over extreme south Texas coast...

Surface observations and wsr-88d radar data indicate that the center of tropical depression two has made landfall near the southern end of south Padre island Texas.

Summary of 1015 am cdt...1500 utc...information
-----------------------------------------------
Location...26.2n 97.2w
About 25 mi...45 km NE of Brownsville Texas
Maximum sustained winds...35 mph...55 km/hr
Present movement...NW or 305 degrees at 15 mph...24 km/hr
Minimum central pressure...1007 mb...29.74 inches

NOTE: Since Tropical Depression 2 never made Tropical Storm status it will not be named as Bonnie.

Poorly-organized tropical depression about to make landfall... bringing rains to southern Texas and northeastern Mexico...

Summary of 1000 am cdt...1500 utc...information
-----------------------------------------------
Location...26.0n 97.0w
About 30 mi...50 km ese of Brownsville Texas
Maximum sustained winds...35 mph...55 km/hr
Present movement...nw or 305 degrees at 15 mph...24 km/hr
Minimum central pressure...1007 mb...29.74 inches

Watches and warnings
--------------------
Changes with this advisory...

None

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

a tropical storm warning is in effect for...
* from south of Baffin Bay Texas to Rio San Fernando Mexico

a tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area...in this case within 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area in the United States...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local national weather service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside United States...please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service

Tropical depression expected to bring rains to southern Texas and northeastern Mexico.....

Summary of 0400 pm cdt...0300 utc...information
-----------------------------------------------
location...24.8n 92.5w
About 160 mi...260 km ese of Brownsville Texas
About 180 mi...285 km e of La Pesca Mexico
Maximum sustained winds...35 mph...55 km/hr
Present movement...nw or 310 degrees at 14 mph...22 km/hr
Minimum central pressure...1006 mb...29.71 inches

Watches and warnings
--------------------
Changes with this advisory...

None

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

a tropical storm warning is in effect for...
* from south of Baffin Bay Texas to Rio San Fernando Mexico

a tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area...in this case within 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area in the United States...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local national weather service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside United States...please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service

Second tropical depression of the atlantic season forms over the western Gulf of Mexico...tropical storm warnings issued...

Summary of 1000 pm cdt...0300 utc...information
-----------------------------------------------
location...23.9n 93.9w
About 265 mi...425 km ese of Brownsville Texas
About 245 mi...395 km e of La Pesca Mexico
Maximum sustained winds...35 mph...55 km/hr
Present movement...nw or 310 degrees at 14 mph...22 km/hr
Minimum central pressure...1005 mb...29.68 inches

Watches and warnings
--------------------
Changes with this advisory...

A tropical storm warning has been issued along the Texas coast south of Baffin Bay to the mouth of the Rio gGrande...and the government of Mexico has issued a tropical storm warning along the coast of Mexico from Rio San Fernando to the mouth of the Rio Grande.

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

a tropical storm warning is in effect for...
* from south of Baffin Bay Texas to Rio San Fernando Mexico

a tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area...in this case within 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area in the United States...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local national weather service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside United States...please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service

For the north Atlantic...Caribbean sea and the Gulf of Mexico...

1. A large low pressure system located about 290 miles southeast of the Texas/Mexico border is moving west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. This system has become much better organized this afternoon and evening...and thunderstorm activity has become more concentrated near the center. Two noaa reconnaissance aircraft are currently conducting a research mission in and around the disturbance...and information received so far suggests that a tropical depression may be forming. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development and if additional organization continues...then forecast advisories will be initiated later tonight or Thursday morning...which would require that tropical storm watches or warnings be issued for portions of the coastal regions of central and lower Texas and northeastern Mexico. There is a high chance...80 percent...of this system becoming a tropical cyclone. This disturbance is forecast to bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to portions of eastern and southern Texas and northeastern Mexico over the next few days.

For the north Atlantic...Caribbean sea and the Gulf of Mexico...

1. An elongated area of low pressure located over the western Gulf of Mexico is moving west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Showers and thunderstorms have become a little more concentrated about 300 miles east-southeast of the Texas/Mexico border...near the southern portion of the low pressure area. Conditions appear conducive for development and a tropical depression could form before the system reaches the coast of northeastern Mexico or southern Texas on Yhursday. There is a medium chance...50 percent...of this system becoming a tropical cyclone. Regardless of development...the low is forecast to bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to portions of eastern Texas and northeastern Mexico during the next few days.

For the north Atlantic...Caribbean sea and the Gulf of Mexico...

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located off the northwestern coast of the Yucatan peninsula remain disorganized. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for some development of this disturbance as it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. There is a medium chance...40 percent...of this system becoming a tropical cyclone before it moves inland over mexico or southern Texas in a day or so.

For the north Atlantic...Caribbean sea and the Gulf of Mexico...

NOTE: there is now just one disturbance being watched by the National Hurricane Center. That is 96L.Invest that may become tropical storm Bonnie within the next couple of days.

1. Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a broad low pressure system centered over the northwestern Yucatan peninsula of Mexico near Merida. The low is being investigated this evening by two noaa aircraft conducting a research mission around the system. Data from this mission indicates environmental conditions remain conducive for some development of this disturbance during the next couple of days as it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. There is a medium chance...40 percent...of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible over portions of the Yucatan peninsula during the next day or so.

For the north Atlantic...Caribbean sea and the Gulf of Mexico...

NOTE: there is now just one disturbance being watched by the National Hurricane Center. That is 96L.Invest that may become tropical storm Bonnie within the next couple of days.

1. A broad area of low pressure over the northern Yucatan peninsula and the south central Gulf of Mexico is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Caribbean sea...the Yucatan peninsula...and portions of the eastern Gulf of Mexico. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for slow development of this system as it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. There is a medium chance...30 percent...of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Regardless of development...locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible over portions of the Yucatan peninsula through tonight.

For the north Atlantic...Caribbean sea and the Gulf of Mexico...

NOTE: there is now just one disturbance being watched by the National Hurricane Center. This is now the 96L.Invest that may become tropical storm Bonnie within the next couple of days.

There has been no change since the last report at 2000edt on the 5th July.

For the north Atlantic...Caribbean sea and the Gulf of Mexico...

NOTE: there is now just one disturbance being watched by the National Hurricane Center. This is now the 96L.Invest that may become tropical storm Bonnie within the next couple of days.

1. A small low pressure system has moved inland over south-central Louisiana about 25 miles southeast of Morgan City. Now that the system is over land and will move farther inland tonight...tropical cyclone development is no longer expected. There is a low chance...near 0 percent...of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. However...heavy rainfall associated with this low is possible over portions of central and southeastern Louisiana. Interests should monitor products issued by their local national weather forecast office for additional updates and any watches or warnings.

2. A broad area of low pressure over the northwestern Caribbean sea and the Yucatan peninsula continues to produce widespread cloudiness and disorganized thunderstorms. Upper-level winds are forecast to become more conducive for development...and a tropical depression could still form over the next couple of days as this system moves northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. There is a medium chance...30 percent...of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Regardless of development...locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible over the Yucatan peninsula and western Cuba over the next day or so.

For the north Atlantic...Caribbean sea and the Gulf of Mexico...

NOTE: there are now two disturbances currently being watched by the National Hurricane Center. 95L.Invest is now the most significant disturbance of the two that may become tropical storm Bonnie within the next few hours as it heads onshore near Caillou Bay.

1. A small well-defined low pressure system located about 50 miles south-southeast of Borgan City Louisiana is moving onshore Terrebonne Parish near Caillou Bay. Doppler radar and satellite data indicate that sustained winds near tropical-storm-force could occur across Terrebonne Parish...especially in Terrebonne Bay...late this afternoon and early evening as the system moves onshore. There is a high chance...60 percent...of this system becoming a tropical cyclone before it moves onshore. This system will move slowly northwestward after landfall and produce locally heavy rainfall over portions of south-central and southeastern Louisiana. Interests should monitor products issued by their local national weather forecast office for additional updates and any watches or warnings.

For the north Atlantic...Caribbean sea and the Gulf of Mexico...

NOTE: there are three disturbances currently being watched by the National Hurricane Center. This is the most significant disturbance that may become tropical storm Bonnie within the next 48 hours.

2. The tropical wave over the northwestern Caribbean sea has become less organized overnight and the reconnaissance aircraft scheduled for this afternoon has been canceled. However...environmental conditions are conducive for some development...and a tropical depression could still form over the next couple of days as this system moves northwestward at 15 mph. There is a medium chance...40 percent...of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Regardless of development...locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible over the Cayman islands...the Yucatan peninsula...western Cuba and the northwestern Caribbean sea over the next day or two.

For the north Atlantic...Caribbean sea and the Gulf of Mexico...

note: there are four current disturbances being watched by the National Hurricane Center. This is the most significant disturbance that may become tropical storm Bonnie within the next 48 hours.

2. A vigorous tropical disturbance located over the northwestern Caribbean sea is becoming better organized. Although there does not appear to be a closed surface circulation at this time...nearby ship and buoy observations indicated winds of tropical-storm-force briefly occurred in association with this system during the past few hours. Environmental conditions are conducive for development of this disturbance as it moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph...and a tropical depression could develop during the next couple of days. There is a medium chance...50 percent...of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Locally heavy rainfall and strong gusty winds will be possible over Grand Cayman island and much of the northwestern Caribbean sea over the next day or so.

For the north Atlantic...Caribbean sea and the Gulf of Mexico...

comment: 95L.Invest seems unlikely to become Bonnie, so we are now concentrating on 96L.Invest in the Caribbean which appears to have a better shot - image to follow.

2. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave over the northwestern Caribbean sea have become a little better organized and surface pressures are beginning to fall in the area. Conditions appear favorable for some development of this system as it moves generally west-northwestward at about 15 mph over the next couple of days. There is a medium chance...30 percent...of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.

Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.

For the north Atlantic...Caribbean sea and the Gulf of Mexico...

1. A non-tropical area of low pressure located about 120 miles south-southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi river continues to produce showers and a few thunderstorms. This low is expected to move generally west or northwestward at around 5 mph over the next couple of days. Strong upper-level winds are currently inhibiting development...and there is a low chance...20 percent...of this system becoming a tropical or subtropical cyclone before it moves inland late Sunday or Monday.

2. A tropical wave is producing widespread cloudiness and numerous showers and thunderstorms over the western Caribbean sea. Environmental conditions appear favorable for some slow development of this system as it moves generally west-northwestward at about 15 mph over the next couple of days. There is a low chance...10 percent...of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.

Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.

For the north Atlantic...Caribbean sea and the Gulf of Mexico...

1. Cloudiness and thunderstorms associated with a non-tropical area of low pressure have increased a little today. The low is located about 165 miles southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi river and is expected to continue moving slowly on a general westward track. Although strong upper-level winds are currently inhibiting development...a small relaxation of these winds could result in better organization of the system. There is a low chance...20 percent...of this system becoming a tropical or subtropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.

Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.

For the north Atlantic...Caribbean sea and the Gulf of Mexico...

1. A weak non-tropical low pressure area...associated with a frontal zone...centered over the extreme northeastern Gulf of Mexico is expected to drift westward during the next day or two. This low will be monitored for any signs of tropical or subtropical development. There is a low chance...10 percent...of this system becoming a tropical or subtropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.

Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours

Alex dissipates over the mountains of central mexico...
This will be the last tracking map for Hurricane Alex.

Summary of 1000 pm cdt...0300 utc...information
-----------------------------------------------
Location...23.3n 102.4w
About 35 mi...55 km...nne of Zacatecas Mexico
Maximum sustained winds...30 mph...45 km/hr
Present movement...w or 275 degrees at 12 mph...19 km/hr
Minimum central pressure...1000 mb...29.53 inches

Alex moving over central Mexico...large area of heavy rain occurring...

Summary of 400 pm cdt...2100 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
Location...23.2n 101.2w
About 220 mi...355 km w of La Pesca Mexico
About 95 mi...155 km ene of Zacatecas Mexico
Maximum sustained winds...40 mph...65 km/hr
Present movement...w or 270 degrees at 13 mph...20 km/hr
Minimum central pressure...990 mb...29.23 inches

Alex producing very heavy rain over Mexico and south Texas as it continues to weaken...

Summary of 1000 am cdt...1500 utc...information
-----------------------------------------------
Location...23.1n 100.3w
About 165 mi...265 km wsw of La Pesca Mexico
About 150 mi...245 km e of Zacatecas Mexico
Maximum sustained winds...50 mph...85 km/hr
Present movement...w or 260 degrees at 13 mph...20 km/hr
Minimum central pressure...985 mb...29.09 inches

Alex weakens to a tropical storm as it moves near the high mountains of Mexico...

Summary of 700 am cdt...1200 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
Location...23.8n 99.8w
About 55 mi...85 km w of Ciudad Victoria Mexico
Maximum sustained winds...70 mph...110 km/hr
Present movement...w or 260 degrees at 12 mph...19 km/hr
Minimum central pressure...977 mb...28.85 inches

Alex continues to weaken...heavy rainfall will become the major threat later today...

Summary of 400 am cdt...0900 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
Location...24.0n 99.0w
About 20 mi...30 km n of Ciudad Victoria Mexico
About 160 mi...260 km sw of Brownsville Texas
Maximum sustained winds...80 mph...130 km/hr
Present movement...w or 260 degrees at 12 mph...19 km/hr
Minimum central pressure...971 mb...28.67 inches

Watches and warnings
--------------------
Changes with this advisory...

The tropical storm warning for the coast of Texas from the mouth of the Rio Grande to Port Oconnor has been discontinued.

The government of Mexico has changed the hurricane warning to a tropical storm warning from north of Rio San Fernando to the mouth of the Rio Grande.

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

a hurricane warning is in effect for...
* the coast of mexico from Rio San Fernando to La Cruz

a tropical storm warning in in effect for...
* the coast of Mexico south of La Cruz to Rabo Rojo and north of Rio San Fernando to the mouth of the Rio Grande

National weather service doppler radar from Brownsville Ttexas and air force reserve unit hurricane hunter observations indicate that the eye of hurricane Alex made landfall around 9 pm cdt...0200 utc along the coast of Mexico in the municipality of Soto la Marina... about 110 mi...180 km south of Brownsville. Maximum sustained winds at landfall were estimated to be 105 mph...165 km/hr...a category two hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane wind scale.

Alex makes landfall in northeastern Mexico...

National weather service doppler radar from Brownsville Ttexas and air force reserve unit hurricane hunter observations indicate that the eye of hurricane Alex made landfall around 9 pm cdt...0200 utc along the coast of Mexico in the municipality of Soto la Marina... about 110 mi...180 km south of Brownsville. Maximum sustained winds at landfall were estimated to be 105 mph...165 km/hr...a category two hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane wind scale.

Summary of 900 pm cdt...0200 utc...information
--------------------------------------------------
Location...24.3n 97.7w
About 35 mi...55 km n of La Pesca Mexico
About 110 mi...180 km s of Brownsville Texas
Maximum sustained winds...105 mph...165 km/hr
Present movement...w or 260 degrees at 10 mph...17 km/hr
Minimum central pressure...947 mb...27.96 inches

Alex now a category two hurricane...will make landfall in northeastern Mexico very soon... Summary of 600 pm cdt...2300 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
Location...24.4n 97.2w
Aabout 55 mi...90 km ne of La Pesca Mexico
About 105 mi...170 km s of Brownsville Texas
Maximum sustained winds...100 mph...155 km/hr
Present movement...w or 270 degrees at 12 mph...19 km/hr
Minimum central pressure...950 mb...28.05 inches

Watches and warnings
---------------------------------
Changes with this advisory
None

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

A hurricane warning is in effect for...
* the coast of Texas south of Baffin Bay to the mouth of the Rio Grande
* the coast of Mexico from the mouth of the Rio Grande to La Cruz

A tropical storm warning in in effect for...
* the coast of Texas from Baffin Bay to Port Oconnor
* the coast of Mexico south of La Cruz to Cabo Rojo

Alex heading toward northeast Mexico with 90 mph winds...
Summary of 400 pm cdt...2100 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
Location...24.5n 96.8w
About 80 mi...130 km ne of La Pesca mMexico
About 105 mi...170 km sse of Brownsville Texas
Maximum sustained winds...90 mph...150 km/hr
Present movement...w or 270 degrees at 13 mph...20 km/hr
Minimum central pressure...959 mb...28.32 inches

Watches and warnings
---------------------------------
None

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

A hurricane warning is in effect for...
* the coast of Texas south of Baffin Bay to the mouth of the Rio Grande
* the coast of Mexico from the mouth of the Rio Grande to La Cruz

A tropical storm warning in in effect for...
* the coast of Texas from Baffin Bay to Port Oconnor
* the coast of Mexico south of La Cruz to Cabo Rojo

Alex has not strengthened yet...but forecast to do so today...

Summary of 1000 am cdt...1500 utc...information
-----------------------------------------------
Location...23.8n 95.5w
About 145 mi...235 km e of La Pesca Mexico
About 190 mi...310 km se of Brownsville Texas
Maximum sustained winds...80 mph...130 km/hr
Present movement...nw or 320 degrees at 7 mph...11 km/hr
Minimum central pressure...961 mb...28.38 inches

Watches and warnings
---------------------------------
None

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

A hurricane warning is in effect for...
* the coast of Texas south of Baffin Bay to the mouth of the Rio Grande
* the coast of Mexico from the mouth of the Rio Grande to La Cruz

A tropical storm warning in in effect for...
* the coast of Texas from Baffin Bay to Port Oconnor
* the coast of Mexico south of La Cruz to Cabo Rojo

Alex deepening as it moves closer to the northeastern coast of Mexico...

Summary of 400 am cdt...0900 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
Location...23.3n 95.1w
About 175 mi...280 km e of La Pesca Mexico
About 235 mi...375 km se of Brownsville Texas
Maximum sustained winds...80 mph...130 km/hr
Present movement...wnw or 290 degrees at 7 mph...11 km/hr
Minimum central pressure...961 mb...28.38 inches

Watches and warnings
---------------------------------
Changes with this advisory..
None

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

A hurricane warning is in effect for...
* the coast of Texas south of Baffin Bay to the mouth of the Rio Grande
* the coast of Mexico from the mouth of the Rio Grande to La Cruz

A tropical storm warning in in effect for...
* the coast of Texas from Baffin Bay to Port Oconnor
* the coast of Mexico south of La Cruz to Cabo Rojo

Alex becomes the first hurricane of the 2010 Atlantic Hurricane Season and the first June Atlantic hurricane since 1995...

Summary of 1000 pm cdt...0300 utc...information
-----------------------------------------------
Location...23.1n 94.8w
About 195 mi...315 km ese of La Pesca Mexico
About 255 mi...415 km se of Brownsville Texas
Maximum sustained winds...75 mph...120 km/hr
Present movement...w or 280 degrees at 9 mph...15 km/hr
Minimum central pressure...973 mb...28.73 inches

Watches and warnings
---------------------------------
None

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

A hurricane warning is in effect for...
* the coast of Texas south of Baffin Bay to the mouth of the Rio Grande
* the coast of Mexico from the mouth of the Rio Grande to La Cruz

A tropical storm warning in in effect for...
* the coast of Texas from Baffin Bay to Port Oconnor
* the coast of Mexico south of La Cruz to Cabo Rojo

Alex becoming better organized and expected to become a hurricane in the next several hours...new tropical storm warning in Mexico...

Summary of 400 pm cdt...2100 utc...information
----------------------------------------------------------------
Location...23.2n 94.0w
About 245 mi...395 km e of La Pesca Mexico
About 290 mi...465 km se of Brownsville Texas
Maximum sustained winds...70 mph...110 km/hr
Present movement...nw or 310 degrees at 13 mph...20 km/hr
Minimum central pressure...981 mb...28.97 inches

Watches and warnings
---------------------------------
Changes with this advisory...

The government of Mexico has issued a tropical storm warning south of La Cruz to Cabo Rojo.

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

A hurricane warning is in effect for...
* the coast of Texas south of Baffin Bay to the mouth of the Rio Grande
* the coast of Mexico from the mouth of the Rio Grande to La Cruz

A tropical storm warning in in effect for...
* the coast of Texas from Baffin Bay to Port Oconnor
* the coast of Mexico south of La Cruz to Cabo Rojo

Tropical Storm Alex now moving toward the northwest with winds just below hurricane strength...

summary of 1000 am cdt...1500 utc...information
-----------------------------------------------
Location...22.7n 93.1w
About 310 mi...495 km ese of La Pesca Mexico
About 355 mi...570 km se of Brownsville Texas
Maximum sustained winds...70 mph...110 km/hr
Present movement...nw or 325 degrees at 12 mph...19 km/hr
Minimum central pressure...982 mb...29.00 inches

Watches and warnings
----------------------------------------
Changes with this advisory...

None.

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

A hurricane warning is in effect for...
* the coast of Texas south of Baffin Bay to the mouth of the Rio Grande
* the coast of Mexico from the mouth of the Rio Grande to La Cruz

A tropical storm warning in in effect for...
* the coast of Texas from Baffin Bay to Port Oconnor

Alex slowly strengthening as it moves over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico...

Summary of 400 am cdt...0900 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
Location...21.7n 91.9w
About 405 mi...650 km ese of La Pesca Mexico
About 460 mi...735 km se of Brownsville Texas
Maximum sustained winds...70 mph...110 km/hr
Present movement...nnw or 340 degrees at 8 mph...13 km/hr
Minimum central pressure...984 mb...29.06 inches

Watches and warnings
----------------------------------------
Changes with this advisory...

None.

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

A hurricane warning is in effect for...
* the coast of Texas south of Baffin Bay to the mouth of the Rio Grande
* the coast of Mexico from the mouth of the Rio Grande to La Cruz

A tropical storm warning in in effect for...
* the coast of Texas from Baffin Bay to Port oOconnor

...Alex gradually strengthening...

Summary of 1000 pm cdt...0300 utc...information
------------------------------------------------------------------
Location...21.0n 91.6w
About 440 mi...710 km ese of La Pesca Mexico
About 505 mi...810 km se of Brownsville Texas
Maximum sustained winds...65 mph...100 km/hr
Present movement...n or 0 degrees at 5 mph...7 km/hr
Minimum central pressure...985 mb...29.09 inches

Watches and warnings
----------------------------------------
changes with this advisory...

A hurricane warning has been issued for the coast of Texas south of Baffin Bay to the mouth of the Rio Grande.

The government of Mexico has issued a hurricane warning from the mouth of the Rio Grande to La Cruz.

A tropical storm warning has been issued for the coast of Texas from Baffin Bay to Port Oconnor.

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

A hurricane warning is in effect for...
* the coast of Texas south of Baffin Bay to the mouth of the Rio Grande
* the coast of Mexico from the mouth of the Rio Grande to La Cruz

A tropical storm warning in in effect for...
* the coast of Texas from Baffin Bay to Port oOconnor

...Alex moving north-northwest...tropical storm watch issued for portions of the Texas coast...

Summary of 400 pm cdt...2100 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
Location...20.5n 91.8w
About 410 mi...660 km ese of tampico mexico
About 520 mi...835 km se of Brownsville Texas
Maximum sustained winds...60 mph...95 km/hr
Present movement...nnw or 330 degrees at 5 mph...7 km/hr
Minimum central pressure...990 mb...29.23 inches

Watches and warnings
--------------------
Changes with this advisory...
A tropical storm watch has been issued for the coast of texas from baffin bay to port oconnor.

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

A hurricane watch is in effect for...
* the coast of texas south of baffin bay to the mouth of the rio grande
* the coast of mexico from the mouth of the rio grande to la cruz

A tropical storm watch in in effect for...
* the coast of texas from baffin bay to port oconnor

A hurricane warning could be required for a portion of the hurricane watch area tonight.

alex slowly intensifying...hurricane watch issued...

Summary of 1000 am cdt...1500 utc...information
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Location...20.3n 91.7w
About 85 mi...135 km wnw of Campeche mexico
About 535 mi...860 km se of Brownsville Texas
Maximum sustained winds...60 mph...95 km/hr
Present movement...nnw or 330 degrees at 7 mph...11 km/hr
Minimum central pressure...989 mb...29.21 inches

watches and warnings
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Changes with this advisory...

A hurricane watch has been issued for the coast of Texas South of Baffin Bay to the mouth of the Rio Grande.

The government of Mexico has issued a hurricane watch for the coast of Mexico from the mouth of the Rio Grande to la Cruz.

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

A hurricane watch is in effect for...
* the coast of Texas south of Baffin bay to the mouth of the Rio Grande
* the coast of Mexico from the mouth of the Rio Grande to la Cruz

A hurricane watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds...conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.

For storm information specific to your area in the United States...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local national weather service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside United States...please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.

Alex moving into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico

Summary of 500 pm edt...2100 utc...information
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Location...19.2n 90.9w
about 55 mi...90 km ssw of Campeche Mexico
Maximum sustained winds...35 mph...55 km/hr
Present movement...wnw or 300 degrees at 9 mph...15 km/hr
Minimum central pressure...999 mb...29.50 inches

Watches and warnings
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
At 400 pm cdt...2100 utc...the center of tropical depression Alex was located near latitude 19.2 north...longitude 90.9 west. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph...15 km/hr. A motion generally toward the northwest is expected for the next couple of days at a slower forward speed.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph...55 km/hr...with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours...and Alex is expected to become a tropical storm again on Monday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb...29.50 inches.

...Alex weakens to a tropical depression...expected to restrengthen over the Gulf of Mexico...

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.7N 90.6W
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM S OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
ABOUT 80 MI...125 KM E OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES

Alex becomes the first tropical storm of the 2010 Hurricane Season.

For the north Atlantic...Caribbean sea and the Gulf of Mexico...

...large tropical storm Alex heading toward Belize and the Yucatan peninsula...

Summary of 1000 am cdt...1500 utc...information
-----------------------------------------------
location...17.3n 86.1w
about 140 mi...225 km e of Belize city
about 165 mi...270 km ese of Chetumal Mexico
maximum sustained winds...45 mph...75 km/hr
present movement...wnw or 290 degrees at 9 mph...15 km/hr
minimum central pressure...1003 mb...29.62 inches

For the north Atlantic...Caribbean sea and the Gulf of Mexico...

1. A low pressure area centered between the northeast coast of Honduras and Grand Cayman continues to show signs of organization. Shower activity has become a little more concentrated this morning...and surface pressures are falling. Upper-level winds are gradually becoming more conducive for development...and the system is likely to become a tropical depression before it reaches the Yucatan peninsula in a couple of days. There is a high chance...70 percent...of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. An air force reconnaissance plane is scheduled to investigate this disturbance later today to determine if a tropical cyclone has formed.

Hurricane/Tropical Storm Bonnie has not yet made an appearence. When it does it will be tracked above this record