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Hurricane and Tropical Storm Tracking 2015



Latest Files :   Get .kml tracking file
Click on the links. To go to the first news report click on '1st Report'
Ana Bill Claudette Danny Erika Fred Grace Henri Ida Joaquin
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Kate Larry Mindy Nicholas Odette Peter Rose Sam Teresa Victor Wanda
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All data provided by the National Hurricane Center.

The 2015 Hurricane Season

2015 Opening Season Preamble (as at March, 2015)

As usual, we will do our best to track all the active storms in the 2015 hurricane season, so keep checking this page regularly. Hurricane Ana or Tropical Storm Ana will be the first of the season when it appears, and we will be ready to track it.

2015 ATLANTIC BASIN SEASONAL HURRICANE FORECAST HURRICANE ACTIVITY FOR 2015

Forecast Parameter and 1981-2010 Median (in parentheses) Issue Date 9 April 2015 Issue Date 1 June 2015 Issue Date 1 July 2015 Named Storms (NS) (12.0) 7 8 8* Named Storm Days (NSD) (60.1) 30 30 30 Hurricanes (H) (6.5) 3 3 3 Hurricane Days (HD) (21.3) 10 10 10 Major Hurricanes (MH) (2.0) 1 1 1 Major Hurricane Days (MHD) (3.9) 0.5 0.5 0.5 Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) (92) 40 40 40 Net Tropical Cyclone Activity (NTC) (103%) 45 45 45 PROBABILITIES FOR AT LEAST ONE MAJOR (CATEGORY 3-4-5) HURRICANE LANDFALL ON EACH OF THE FOLLOWING COASTAL AREAS: 1) Entire U.S. coastline - 28% (average for last century is 52%) 2) U.S. East Coast Including Peninsula Florida - 15% (average for last century is 31%) 3) Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville - 15% (average for last century is 30%) PROBABILITY FOR AT LEAST ONE MAJOR (CATEGORY 3-4-5) HURRICANE TRACKING INTO THE CARIBBEAN (10-20N, 60-88W) 1) 22% (average for last century is 42%) *This forecast includes the two named storms that have already formed (Ana and Bill).

Here's the list of 2015 contenders. Ana, Bill, Claudette, Danny, Erika, Fred, Grace, Henri, Ida, Joaquin, Kate, Larry, Mindy, Nicholas, Odette, Peter, Rose, Sam, Teresa, Victor, Wanda


The 2015 Hurricane Season.

Total3
Tropical Storms3 Ana Bill Claudette
SubTropical Storms0
Hurricanes0
Major Hurricanes0

2015 Hurricane and Tropical Storm News

NOTE: Latest news is always at the top, earlier news below.



STATUS: ,
1st January, 1970 01:00


ARCHIVE MATERIAL ONLY

STATUS: Watching Tropical Storm Sean, 695 km sw of Bermuda
8th November, 2011 20:00 News

...Sean stalls...expected to move northwestward on Wednesday...

Summary of 800 pm ast...0000 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
Location...27.8n 69.8w
About 430 mi...695 km sw of Bermuda
Maximum sustained winds...50 mph...85 km/h
Present movement...stationary
Minimum central pressure...999 mb...29.50 inches

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

NOTE: This storm will only be tracked if it looks like it might pass over a major populated landmass. Dave Foster.



Track prediction Spaghetti Model Image courtesy of SkeetobiteWeather.com

The Navymil watch developing tropical systems, and perform reconnaisance on them. This development cycle goes through two initial stages - the investigation cycle followed by the reporting cycle.

In the investigation cycle, systems are given a codename beginning at 90, then progessing through 91, 92 etc. for subsequent systems. The L suffix indicates an Atlantic system, the .Invest indicates an investigation. When they get to 99 they start back at the beginning.

During the reporting cycle, when the system has been deemed to have reached tropical depression status, codes 00 to 09 are used with a character-based name suffix.

Once the system has become a tropical depression the National Hurricane Center begins reporting it, and they produce their first forecast and map. The NHC notation for the depression is to use the name 'Tropical Depression ' followed by an uppercase, character-based value. The first depression of the season becomes ONE. By the sixth depression they are using the notation 'Tropical Depression SIX'.


Tropical System codenames used by the Navymil with their NHC equivalents

NavyMil Investigation 90L.Invest 91L.Invest 92L.Invest 93L.Invest 94L.Invest 95L.Invest 96L.Invest 97L.Invest 98L.Invest 99L.Invest
NavyMil Depression 00L.Zero 01L.One 02L.Two 03L.Three 04L.Four 05L.Five 06L.Six 07L.Seven 08L.Eight 09L.Nine
The NHC would use the following : Tropical Depression ONE, Tropical Depression TWO etc...